Brothers, the non-farm payroll data staged another great show!
Last night's non-farm payrolls were clearly positive, yet ETH surged to 4494 and then plummeted to 4260, leaving countless retail investors who chased the rise trapped! This is already the third time recently that we've failed to break through 4500—it's obvious that the major players are taking advantage of the news to cut losses! The price is now stuck at 4320, oscillating in a dangerous manner. Those who are trapped, don't panic; Lan Xuan will lead you in a counterattack!
The truth behind the news: favorable data does not equal rising coin prices!
Last night's non-farm payroll data was indeed favorable, but why did the coin price plummet? The answer is harsh yet true: the major players had already positioned themselves!
The small non-farm payroll two days ago had a bullish reaction but fell back, already warning: The news is being used to create illusions!
Before the data is released, it rises to 4494, precisely to induce buying and harvest profits!
The market in 2025 is more cunning: The truth of the news is not important; the motives of the main force are key!
(Remember: Never chase the market when data is released, this is a hard lesson!)
Key technical point: 4250 is the lifeline!
Currently, ETH is in a triangular convergence zone:
Pressure above at 4350: A breakthrough can temporarily relieve downward pressure.
Support at 4250 below: If it breaks, it will likely plunge towards strong support at 4200 (or even lower!)
Sideways crisis: Three failures to break through 4500 indicate the main force is temporarily unwilling to break, and the purpose is to shake out positions!
Unwinding strategy: What to do with long positions between 4490-4430?
Choose according to your position:
Heavy positions trapped: Reduce half when rebounding to around 4350, keep the rest with a stop loss at 4280. If it breaks below 4250, decisively stop loss and go short!
Lightly trapped positions: Add long positions in the 4250-4280 range to average down, and exit all at 4350 during the rebound!
Ultimate plan: If it drops to strong support at 4200, you can double the long positions to bet on a rebound, with a stop loss at 4180 and a target of 4350!
(Remember: Leverage should not exceed 5 times, refuse to hold positions!)
Market forecast: After a sideways movement, there will definitely be a big trend!
ETH is currently at a critical period for direction choice:
If it stabilizes at 4350: It is expected to challenge 4500 again, and if it breaks through, the target is 5000!
If it breaks below 4250: It will test the 4200 support; if it breaks, a downward trend will begin!
My judgment: There is a greater probability of moving upwards after a sideways movement, but beware of the main force hitting the market again!
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