Current situation (August 25, 2025):
- Price: ~$1.06–1.10 USD (based on data from CoinMarketCap, Binance, @cexscan).
- Context: KERNEL — the native token of Kernel Protocol (@onkernel), a platform for AI infrastructure in Web3, providing cloud-based browser launches for AI agents. Launched in 2024, it supports dApps with real use cases (social media analysis, dynamic NFTs). Market capitalization: ~$90–100 million USD (ranking ~400–500). Trading volume: ~$10–15 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~85 million KERNEL, maximum: 1 billion. Price has fallen ~50% from ATH ($2.20, March 2025), but has increased by ~2–3% in 24h (@CoinMarketCap, @post:0). Positive on X: integration with Polygon, APR up to 24% on Binance Earn, Proof of Attribution (@post:0, @post:3). Criticism: volatility, low liquidity (@Greta0086).
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $2.50–$4.00 USD (growth of 130–270%) in a bull market and success of AI/Web3 (@web:4).
- Neutral: $1.50–$2.50 USD (growth of 40–130%).
- Pessimistic: $0.50–$0.80 USD in case of correction or regulatory restrictions (@web:8).
- Levels:
- Support: $1.00–1.06 USD, $0.80–0.90 USD.
- Resistance: $1.30–1.50 USD, $2.00–2.50 USD.
- Trend: Bullish in the short term. Daily chart shows momentum (RSI ~55–65, 50 MA above 200 MA), but weekly RSI ~70 signals possible overbought conditions (@cexscan). Breakout at $1.50 could raise the price to $2.00–2.50, drop below $1.00 — to $0.80 (@web:4). Forecasts: CoinCodex — $1.50–2.50, DigitalCoinPrice — $2.00–3.50, Binance — $1.80 (@post:0).
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: Kernel provides AI agents for dApps (for example, social media analysis, transaction protection). Integration with Polygon and NodeOps (@post:3). TVL: ~$50–80 million.
- Partnerships: Binance (20% bonus APR, @post:0), Polygon, QuillAudits, Avitus Labs (@post:3).
- Tokenomics: 8.5% of tokens in circulation, unlocks until 2030. Staking (APR ~10–24%) and burning of fees (@post:0).
- Community: Positive on X (@onkernel, @NodeOpsHQ), expectations of growth to $3–5 (@post:2). The AI/Web3 market is growing (CAGR ~30–40% by 2030). Bitcoin halving (2024) and pro-crypto US policy support the market (@99Bitcoins).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify KERNEL as a security.
- Volatility: Low market cap (~$90 million) vulnerable to whales (@CoinGecko).
- Unlocks: ~915 million tokens by 2030 could pressure the price.
- Competition: FET, NEAR in AI/Web3 (@web:11).
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor forecasts $0.50–0.80 (@swapspace).
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on corrections to $1.00–1.06 USD, stop below $0.80 USD. Target: $2.00–2.50 USD. Staking (APR ~10–24%) for income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout at $1.50 USD, target $2.00–2.50 USD. Sell below $1.00 USD, target $0.80–0.90 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to volatility, unlocks, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, decline in interest in AI/Web3, drop in BTC/ETH.