🚨 8.22 Ultimate Sniping Guide
▌💥 Wyckoff Liquidation Map Revealed: Whales have buried landmines at key positions, tonight will bloodbath leveraged traders!
🔥 [Market Dynamics Before Powell's Speech]
📍 05:30 Trump makes a sudden speech: once again stirs market risk-averse sentiment, triggering short-term market volatility, signs of funds flowing to safe-haven assets.
📍 05:45 Goolsbee's hawkish statement: Chicago Fed President is cautious about rate cuts, reinforcing market expectations for the Fed's short-term policy direction, suppressing risk assets.
📍 22:00 Powell's speech at the global central bank annual meeting (with simultaneous interpretation): The year's most significant market ignition point, the market focuses on his statements on monetary policy, inflation, etc., which will directly influence cryptocurrency trends.
⚠️ Latest Market Changes:
The probability of a Fed rate cut in September dropped sharply from 92% a week ago to 74%, with rate hike expectations rising, bearish for risk assets.
The US dollar index hits a two-week high of 98.60, suppressing risk assets priced in dollars, including cryptocurrencies.
US stocks S&P 500 fall for the fifth consecutive day, tech stocks under pressure, market risk appetite is low, cryptocurrency market sentiment is dragged down.
📊 [BTC Wyckoff Institutional Intent Analysis]
The liquidation heat map shows that institutions' layout intentions are clear:
✅ 11.28 million above the current price level accumulates 192 million long liquidation orders, where the bulls' positions are dense, making it an easy target for institutions.
✅ 11.7 million - 11.9 million forms a 30 million + liquidation wall, if the price impacts this range, the confrontation between bulls and bears will be more intense, and if it bears pressure and falls back, the risk of long liquidation is very high.
✅ A sudden crash will trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, under the domino effect, market volatility may intensify.
Key Positions:
🔺 Liquidation Resistance: 113600 - 115200 (whales densely buried landmines), institutions are laying in wait here, anticipating triggering long liquidations.
🔻 Bull Defense Line: 107800 - 109400 (breaking below will trigger panic selling), this range is an important psychological support for the bulls, and losing it may spread panic sentiment.
📈 [ETH Synchronized Judgment]
The liquidation map displays typical bullish trap characteristics:
◾ Current price 4260 is in the dense area of short liquidations, price increases may trigger short liquidations, attracting retail investors to go long, but it may be a setup for institutions to offload.
◾ Above 4300 - 4400 accumulates 198 million short orders waiting to explode, if the price rises, short liquidations will boost the rally, but subsequent pullback risks are also significant.
◾ Below 3800 is a heavy stop-loss area for longs, if the price breaks down, long stop-loss will surge, accelerating the decline.
◾ Correlated with BTC but with larger fluctuations, the pressure from staking unlocking continues, further amplifying its price volatility.
🎯 [Ultimate Trading Strategy]
🔻 BTC Battle Plan:
▶️ Rebound 113000 - 114000 short in batches, stop loss 115500, using upper resistance levels to layout shorts, betting on a pullback.
▶️ Break below 109000 to chase shorts targeting 107000 - 105000, if the bull defense line is lost, follow the trend and chase shorts, seizing the downward trend.
▶️ Unexpected breakthrough 116000 to chase longs targeting 118000, if breaking key resistance, switch from short to long, capturing the short-term upward trend.
🔻 ETH Precision Strike:
▶️ Layout shorts in the 4280 - 4320 range, stop loss 4350, utilizing the short liquidation zone and upper resistance to layout shorts.
▶️ Break below 4150 to add to shorts targeting 4000 - 3900, after breaking key support, increase position to expand profits.
▶️ Breakthrough 4350 reverse multiple targets 4450 - 4500, after breaking pressure level, go long on the reverse, seize short-term rebound.
💡 [Garry's Exclusive Insights]
Based on Wyckoff volume-price analysis, the current trend fits the characteristics of the 'Distribution Phase':
The upward momentum is weak and shows fatigue, repeatedly testing key resistance levels fails, indicating insufficient bullish energy.
Abnormal increase in trading volume but unable to break the previous high, volume-price divergence, and clear signs of institutions offloading.
Institutions create panic by leveraging Powell's speech to accumulate positions, using market news to wash out retail investors' chips.
If Powell's speech tonight leans hawkish (70% probability), it will ignite the liquidation zone below, bearish for cryptocurrencies; if unexpectedly dovish, shorts will be forced to cover, and the market may rebound in the short term. Retail liquidations are the real 'fuel', institutions often harvest based on retail sentiment.
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🔥 Daily precise strikes at key points
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Also attached is the essence of Wyckoff's trading method:
Distribution phase: Whales offload on good news, retail investors chase the rise and bury orders.
Spring effect: After multiple tests of the support level, a breakdown accelerates, using false breakouts or false breakdowns to wash out positions.
Volume-price divergence: price rises with decreasing volume, and price drops with increasing volume, reflecting an imbalance in bullish and bearish forces.
