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You should only think🙃🏮

Analysis of the current Bitcoin cycle compared to the previous one

$BTC since 2010 is following a repeating pattern:

Each cycle lasts approximately 1456 days (about 4 years) linked to the halving.

Each cycle starts from a bottom, breaks the previous peak, rises to a new historical peak, and then the market enters a long decline.

Conclusion: The current cycle is expected to end between November and December 2025

Historical rise percentages from bottom to peak:

•2011 → 2013: $1100 → 59,000%

•2014 → 2017: $19,800 → 10,500%

•2018 → 2021: $69,000 → 2,500%

Conclusion: This indicates that there is an exponential decay in the rise percentages, and each cycle is weaker than the previous one, and it is expected that the current cycle will achieve

1000% between $120,000 - $150,000

The duration after breaking peaks (the yellow box):

•Breaking 1,200 → Peak 19,500 in 245 days.

•Breaking 19,500 → Peak 69,000 in 336 days.

•Breaking 69,000 → We reached 124,000 after 280 days and still continuing.

Conclusion:

•The duration increases with each cycle.

•The percentage decreases after the break (from 1532% → 272% → 70% so far).

Therefore, the expected duration is 387 days in November 2025, and the percentage will be 100%

Summary and expectations for the current cycle (2025):

From the bottom of 2022 (≈ $15,500) we expect the final peak between 120k-160k.

We are at the end of the time square (1456 days), which means the final peak is likely to appear before the end of 2025 or the beginning of 2026, and then the market will start a down cycle

$ETH $BTC

#MarketPullback #StrategyBTCPurchase #ETHStakingExitWatch #PowellWatch