After the "halving + extreme oversold" double hit, BMT has fallen to a two-year low of 0.0688, closely adhering to the lower Bollinger Band for a reduced volume consolidation; contract positions have seen a net outflow for seven consecutive days, but there is a build-up of spot buying in the market, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is weakening, and a value return is imminent.

【Key Interval Structure】
1. Value Anchor (POC): 0.0759 (range 0.0757-0.0761), the largest transaction concentration area of the past two weeks, also the lower edge of the current 70% transaction volume coverage area, with strong magnetism.
2. High Transaction Volume Area (HVN):
• 0.0837-0.0840: The first resistance buffer zone above, Up Volume 57%, a breakout with volume will confirm a reversal.
• 0.0863-0.0867: The second resistance, Up Volume 68%, is the mid-term target for bulls.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap (LVN):
• 0.0681-0.0688: The current price is in this vacuum zone, transactions are sparse, and it can be quickly traversed; as long as it does not break on a pullback, it can be seen as an entry point after a bull trap.
• 0.1023-0.1034: The far end gap, if strong in the medium term, can be seen as the ultimate profit-taking zone.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 0.0742-0.0984, the current price is located outside the lower edge ≈ 1.2×ATR, severely oversold on the technical side (RSI 15.8).

【Momentum Verification】
• In the POC area, Down Volume accounts for 66%, but there has been a decrease in volume over the past 4 hours, with a total market buying order of 180,000 USDT > selling orders of 130,000 USDT, indicating active short-term buying.
• Contract positions have decreased by 3.04% in the last 24 hours, but the funding rate has turned positive at 0.005%, signaling the initial signs of short covering.

【Auxiliary Judgment】
• MA200: 0.0782, deviation -12%, the largest negative deviation of the year, strong demand for mean reversion.
• Bollinger Bands: Price closely follows the lower band at 0.0676, with narrowing bandwidth, indicating that volatility is about to expand.
• Position/Market Value Ratio 7.7%, at a low level, limited leverage selling pressure.

【Trading Strategy】
Short-term (1-3 days):
• Aggressive: Buy in batches in the range of 0.0680-0.0685, stop loss at 0.0665 (below HVN 0.0679 outside -0.5ATR), target 0.0759 (POC), risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.1:1.
• Conservative: Wait for a 15-minute bullish candle to break through 0.0690 (upper LVN) and then enter on a pullback that does not break, stop loss at 0.0678, target 0.0760/0.0837, risk-reward ratio ≈ 4.5:1.
• Cautious: If the price directly pulls back to POC 0.0759 and shows a consolidation with decreased volume for more than 30 minutes + Up Volume > 60%, buy on a pullback at 0.0755-0.0758, stop loss at 0.0740, target 0.0837-0.0867, risk-reward ratio ≈ 5:1.

【Risk Warning】
• If the daily close falls below 0.0665 and contract positions enlarge again, the strategy becomes invalid, and a reversal to short is recommended.
• Sudden changes in macro sentiment or negative project news will extend low-level fluctuations, position ≤ 3% of account equity.

【LP Market Making Advice】
It is recommended to provide dual currency market making in the range of 0.0680-0.0760, reason: the lower edge of the range is LVN + the lower Bollinger Band, the upper edge is POC + HVN, volatility is about to expand but the price center is still attracted to POC, benefiting from both order execution and price spread.

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