📉“After BMT's 7% flash crash, can the value anchor of 0.0865 make a comeback?”——The last window period for bottom-fishing party!
Summary in one sentence: BMT has plummeted 11% in 48 hours, and the price has dropped to the lower edge of the 70% volume coverage zone around 0.075, resonating with oversold conditions and low liquidity gaps, a short-term 'deep squat jump' may be imminent.
Key interval structure
1. Value anchor POC: 0.0865 (Volume 149 million, Long/Short ratio 73/27)——If volume returns to this area, short covering will accelerate.
2. High volume HVN: 0.0759, 0.0838, 0.0865——0.0759 is the recent 'floor', 0.0838 is the first resistance for rebound.
3. Low volume LVN: 0.0723-0.0737 (Volume only 34.6 million)——Price quickly crosses the area, if it falls below 0.0723, it will open up to 0.0686.
4. 70% volume coverage zone: 0.0751-0.0984——Current price 0.0744 is close to the lower edge, RSI 27 has entered extreme oversold.
Momentum verification
• LVN 0.0723-0.0737: Down Volume accounts for 78%, bears dominate; however, if there is a bullish candlestick with Up Volume >60%, it will be considered a reversal signal.
• POC 0.0865: Up Volume accounts for 73%, a bullish accumulation area; the price first touching this can be considered for a long position.
Auxiliary indicators
• MA200 deviation -7.6%, Bollinger Band lower limit 0.0729, with triple oversold overlap.
• Contract open interest decreased 0.32% in 24h, funding rate +0.005%, shorts have not significantly increased, downward momentum is weakening.
Trading strategy (15m-1h level)
Aggressive: Long at LVN 0.0730±0.0003 on pullback, stop loss at 0.0720 (below HVN 0.0759 -0.5ATR), target 0.0759/0.0838, risk-reward ratio ≈2.8.
Conservative: Wait for 1h close above 0.0751 and Up Volume >60% before chasing long, stop loss at 0.0740, target POC 0.0865, risk-reward ratio ≈3.1.
Cautious: After breaking through 0.0838 HVN, go long on pullback not breaking 0.0828, stop loss at 0.0818, target 0.0865, risk-reward ratio ≈2.4.
Risk warning: If the 1h volume drops below 0.0720, all long positions become invalid, reverse to short at 0.0686.
LP market-making suggestion
Range: 0.0730-0.0838, order density reference HVN 0.0759 and 0.0838, to earn fees from range fluctuations; if the price breaks above 0.0838 and Up Volume >65%, move the upper limit to 0.0865.
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