TREE is experiencing a 'value regression' waterfall — the price has fallen below the lower edge of the 70% trading dense area, looking oversold in the short term, but the main force is still 'building a dam' in the 0.40~0.43 range. Whether it can hold 0.346 will determine if it's a rebound or another plunge into the 0.30 abyss.

Key Interval Structure
1. Value Anchoring Area (POC): 0.4075, maximum trading volume in the past two weeks, with over 1.1 billion USDT in trapped positions above.
2. High Trading Volume Area (HVN):
• 0.3946~0.414 (HVN1) — the nearest buffer zone below the current price, Up Volume still accounts for 59%, short-term rebound preferred.
• 0.414~0.427 (HVN2) — if there is a volume breakout, it can look towards 0.446.
3. Low Trading Volume Gap (LVN): 0.346~0.349 (Bollinger Band lower rail), trading volume only 1/20 of POC, if the price breaks down with volume, it will quickly slide towards 0.304.
4. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Area: 0.304~0.846, current price is at the lower edge of the range at 14%, RSI 36.7 slightly oversold, but not extreme.

Momentum Verification
• POC area Up/Down = 66%:34%, buyers still dominate, but marginal decline.
• The trading volume in the last 4 hours has increased 1.4 times compared to the average, but a long lower shadow shows support at low levels.
• Contract positions decreased by 5.46% in 24 hours, long-short ratio changed from 1.55 to 1.73, with longs dominating the profit-taking, no bottom signal seen yet.

Auxiliary Judgment
• MA200 deviation -9.2%, the historical mean reversion window has opened.
• Sell orders are piling up at the near end -26k, but the total buy orders at the far end are +65k, creating a 'sell near buy far' inducement structure.

Market Cycle
At the end of the mid-term downtrend channel, the short-term enters the 'oversold oscillation → choosing direction' phase. If 0.346 is breached, it will confirm an extension of the bear market.

Trading Strategy (short-term quick in and out)
Aggressive: Long at current price 0.3566±0.002, stop loss at 0.345 (lower edge of LVN), target at 0.394 (HVN1), risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.3.
Conservative: Wait for a 15m level volume to return to 0.365 with Up Volume >60% before re-entering, stop loss at 0.359, target at 0.407 (POC), risk-reward ratio ≈ 5.9.
Cautious: If it falls below 0.346, short near 0.352 on a rebound, stop loss at 0.359, target at 0.304, risk-reward ratio ≈ 6.8.

Risk Warning
• Strategy Failure: Daily close below 0.346 or >80% Down Volume in POC area.
• Event Risk: Project team unlocking or regulatory news may trigger a gap.

LP Market Making Suggestions
It is recommended to provide bilateral liquidity in the range of 0.346~0.394 — the lower edge touches the Bollinger Band support, the upper edge is dense trading at HVN1, with volatility contraction + active trading, suitable for grid trading; if the price breaks above 0.414, move the range up to 0.394~0.446.

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