SOL is in a 'vacuum zone' with a nearly million contract reduction in 24 hours and funding rates trending to zero. The price just retouched the two-week value center of 181.7 USDT, creating a 'spring' with low volume gaps and dense buy orders — either it rebounds back to 190 or breaks down into a waterfall, leaving short-term players with less than 2% margin for error.

Key interval structure and volume distribution
1. Value anchoring zone: POC=181.66, maximum transaction of 10.4 million SOL in the past two weeks, Up/Down=55%:45%, with buyers slightly dominant, forming the bullish baseline.
2. High volume area:
• HVN₁: 178.0-178.4, with a transaction of 8.85 million; the last three touches have seen ≥3% rebounds, which can be considered the first rebound target.
• HVN₂: 191.8-192.2, with a transaction of 8.2 million; if it breaks out with increased volume, it can confirm a trend reversal.
3. Low volume gap:
• LVN₁: 172.9-173.3, with only 2.34 million in transactions; the price has 'pierced' it in seconds; if it retraces again and Up Volume > 60%, it can be seen as an opportunity for bulls to add positions.
• LVN₂: 206.2-208.4, with transactions of less than 2.2 million, is a concentration area for short stop losses above, and a breakout will accelerate.
4. 70% transaction volume coverage zone: 167.2-202.6; the current price of 183.57 is slightly above the center, neither overbought nor oversold, showing a neutral to strong short-term bias.

Momentum verification
• POC zone Up Volume 55%, HVN₁ 47%, LVN₁ 57%, showing that bulls are actively accumulating at low levels; if LVN₁ breaks out with increased volume and Up Volume > 60%, the probability of a short-term reversal greatly increases.
• In the past 2 hours, contracts have reduced by 0.5%, and the long-short ratio has changed from 2.74 to 2.50; bulls are not panicking but lack incremental buying.

Auxiliary judgment
• Bollinger Bands: 1h middle band at 185.49, current price is just above the lower band at 179.75, RSI 56, not showing extremes.
• MA200: 1h at 188.96, deviation -2.85%; if it stabilizes above 188.9 with increased volume, it will confirm a bearish-to-bullish reversal.
• Order book: Cumulative buy orders at 183.0-183.2 are approximately 1.16 million USDT, while sell orders are only 510,000; short-term buying pressure is dominant.

Market cycle
At the end of a two-week level sideways decline, contract positions have seen a net outflow for 5 consecutive days and are at the tail end of 'de-leveraging'; if POC holds, it may enter a new round of sideways bottoming.

Trading strategy (short-term 15m-1h)
• Aggressive long: Pullback to LVN₁ 172.9-173.3, Up Volume > 60% and a PinBar appears, enter at 173.0, stop loss at 171.4 (just below recent HVN), target 178.4, risk/reward ratio ≈ 3.4:1.
• Moderate long: A decrease in volume with a doji star appears in the POC 181.6-182.0 range, enter at 181.8, stop loss at 180.2, target 186.0, risk/reward ratio ≈ 2.6:1.
• Conservative short: Rebound to HVN₂ 191.8-192.2, Down Volume > 55% and 1h closes below 191.5, enter at 191.6, stop loss at 193.2, target 188.0, risk/reward ratio ≈ 2.3:1.

Risk warning
If the 1h closes below 180.0 (lower edge of POC + MA200-1×ATR), the bullish structure will fail, and it may quickly slide to LVN₁; sudden events (macro or SEC news) can instantly break the range, be sure to control positions to ≤ 2% of the account.

LP market-making suggestions
It is recommended to place both buy and sell orders in the range of 178.0-186.0 with a width of 4%, centered symmetrically around POC:
• Buy orders at 178.0-181.7, sell orders at 181.7-186.0, capital ratio 4:6;
• Logic: 178-186 covers 70% of the trading range, and both 178 and 186 are edges of HVN with high transaction probability; if the price breaks above 186, manually move the range up to 186-194.

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