“BB Panic Sell-off 3%! $0.12 Lifeline: Bottom Fishing or Running for Life?”
【Quick Overview】
BB staged a “reduced volume pit digging” in the $0.12-$0.14 value zone, with a net outflow of nearly 8.4 million USDT from contracts, retail investors cutting losses, and the main players quietly accumulating shares, potentially welcoming a short-term “V” type rebound.
【Interval Structure and Volume Distribution】
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC 0.1335 (maximum trading volume in 2 weeks), upper HVN 0.1306-0.1379 forming a “thick wall”, lower LVN 0.089-0.096 as a vacuum zone, 70% trading area 0.1088-0.1415, current price 0.1218 running at the bottom, slightly oversold.
2. Momentum Verification: Up Volume near POC 56%, HVN 0.1306 Up Volume 55%, indicating buyers are still present; LVN 0.1488 Up Volume 100%, but with low volume, indicating a potential short covering gap.
3. Auxiliary Indicators: 1h Bollinger Band lower limit 0.116, MA200 0.1242, price deviation -1.97%, RSI 51 neutral, contract OI down 4.7% in 24h, with long positions being reduced, no indication of panic selling increase.
4. Market Anomaly: Buy orders 2.21 times sell orders, near-end buy orders accumulated at 40,000 USDT, significant selling pressure above 0.3-0.51 but far from the current price, no substantial resistance in the short term.
【Market Cycle】
Mid-term oscillation downward, short-term entering the “reduced volume bottom exploration” finale, if the 0.116-0.12 range is held, there is hope for a return to POC value.
【Trading Strategy】
• Entry: Long at the 0.120-0.122 range (aggressive), or wait for a volume breakout above 0.124 on the 15m chart (conservative).
• Stop Loss: Below 0.116 (recent HVN below 0.116 is 0.5×ATR≈0.001).
• Target: First HVN 0.1306, second POC 0.1335, profit-loss ratio ≈2.8:1 (0.122→0.1306, stop loss at 0.116).
• Invalidity: Daily close below 0.116 or contract OI increase >5% with price down, immediate stop loss.
【Risk Warning】
If macro sentiment deteriorates or BTC breaks key levels, LVN 0.089-0.096 will be tested, strategy invalidated.
【LP Market Making Suggestions】
It is recommended to place orders in the 0.116-0.134 range for market making: lower edge close to the lower Bollinger Band + LVN upper edge, upper edge touches the top of the 70% trading area, dense trading area, low slippage, can collect bilateral fees; if the price breaks above 0.134 then shift the range to 0.134-0.141.
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Thanks: “Silicon-Based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!
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