Trading Suggestions:
Action Direction: Wait and see, or adopt a high-risk left-side buying (long) strategy. Suggested Entry Price: 117200 - 117500 USDT. Trading Reason: The most important funding signal: The large holders' long-short ratio is as high as 2.21, which is the strongest bullish reason. We choose to follow in the footsteps of 'smart money,' positioning in areas where they might build positions, against the current price trend.
Position Management:
Recommended Leverage: 5x (Given the current market volatility and the fact that it's a counter-trend trade, low leverage must be used to control risk exposure) Single Position Size: It is recommended to use 20% of the principal, i.e., 20 USDT as margin. Position Building Method: Gradual Position Building (strongly recommended): First (Testing Position): 10% of principal, i.e., 10 USDT, entering near the price of 117500 USDT. Additional (Confirmation Position): 10% of principal, i.e., 10 USDT, entering when the price falls to the range of 117000-117200 USDT and shows signs of a stop-loss (e.g.,出现下影线或15分钟级别底背离) when entering.
Take Profit and Stop Loss:
Stop Loss Price: 115900 USDT
Take Profit Price: TP1: 119100 USDT, TP2: 120000 USDT
Reasons: TP1 (119100) is a key resistance point where the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and MA20 are located, and is the first resistance for a rebound. TP2 (120000) is an integer level and R1 resistance level, which is a more optimistic target. Expected Profit: When reaching TP1, the profit is approximately (119100 - 117350) * 0.00085 ≈ 1.48 USDT. The risk-reward ratio is approximately 1.48 / 1.23 ≈ 1.2 : 1. The risk-reward ratio is better when reaching TP2.
Risk Control Requirements:
Exit Signal: Strictly execute the price, touching the 115900 USDT stop-loss level. After the 1-hour candlestick stabilizes above 119200 USDT, if the MACD fast and slow lines form a death cross again, consider taking profits and exiting. If the large holders' long-short ratio quickly drops below 1.5, indicating a change in their position, exit immediately. Position Adjustment: When profits reach TP1 (119100 USDT), the stop-loss must be moved to the cost price (117350 USDT) to ensure that this trade is invulnerable, then aim for TP2. If extreme price spikes occur (e.g., volatility exceeds 2000 points within an hour), consider manually reducing the position by 50%, locking in some profits or reducing risk exposure.