As a blogger deeply involved in the cryptocurrency space, today I will focus on the ETHUSD four-hour trend, precisely analyze the trend, predict the direction, and keep up with the rhythm to avoid losses!#以太坊创历史新高倒计时

1. Current core signals

From the four-hour candlestick view, ETH completes a wave of “peak pullback + short-term stabilization” structure:

- Price Fluctuation: Peaked at 4795.95 within 24 hours, dropped to a low of 4454.72, current price 4632.60, showing a “peak resistance, pullback accumulation” pattern;

- Volume coordination: 24-hour trading volume 595 million contracts, trading amount 5.948 billion USD, increased volume during the peak phase, decreased volume during the pullback, with a coexistence of capital divergence and support;

- Technical indicators: The MACD indicator DIF (110.63) crosses down DEA (139.07), the MACD histogram -28.44 negative value expands, indicating short-term adjustment pressure, but the price has not broken the key support (4454.72 low), adjustments may be an accumulation.

2. Next trend prediction

Combining patterns, volume, and indicators, ETH's four-hour cycle has two key evolution possibilities:

(1) Short-term adjustment, mid-term accumulation breakout

If the price holds the support of the 4454 - 4500 range after a pullback, and stabilizes above 4700 after a decreased volume adjustment, it will confirm the completion of “pullback accumulation,” with a mid-term expectation to challenge the previous high of 4795, or even break through to open new upward space.

(2) Breaking down, testing deeper support

If it effectively breaks below the low of 4454, and with increased volume on the drop, the short-term trend will weaken, possibly testing the upper edge of the previous range at 4300 - 4200, so be cautious of the pullback risk.

3. Operational thoughts and plans

(1) Holders:

- If holding a long position, the current price near 4632 can be observed first; if it drops below 4500 and indicators continue to weaken, consider partially reducing positions for risk avoidance; if it stabilizes above 4700 with increased volume, add positions to gamble on the breakout.

- If holding a short position, the current price is in the process of adjustment; focus on the resistance level of 4700; if the rebound faces resistance and falls back, add positions to gamble on the drop; if it breaks 4700, cut losses and exit promptly.

(2) Observers:

- For the aggressive: Stabilizing in the range of 4500 - 4550 (increased volume + indicators turning), lightly try a long position, with a stop loss below 4450, targeting 4700 - 4800;

- For the cautious: Wait for a breakout above 4700 and confirm its validity (increased volume + stabilization), then pursue a long position to gamble on the main rise; or if it breaks below 4450, take a small position to gamble on the drop, strictly cutting losses below 4350.

4. Key reminders

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and trend predictions need to be adjusted in conjunction with real-time market dynamics! Keep up with Shenge's rhythm, closely monitor support and resistance, pay attention to volume changes, act decisively when the trend is clear, and be patient when uncertain, to grasp opportunities and control risks in ETH's fluctuations~

Focus on Shenge discussing trends, precisely analyzing cryptocurrency trends, bringing you trading opportunities, keep up with the rhythm to avoid losses~ Continuously track ETH real-time signals, remember to lock in updates!