Author: Deep Brother | A veteran in the cryptocurrency world, a hard-core player who has survived two bull-bear cycles.

"The market always arises from despair, rises in hesitation, and crashes in celebration." This old saying in the cryptocurrency world has once again been validated by ETH today. Watching ETH surge forward, breaking the 4500 USDT barrier, many people couldn't help but shout '5000 is not a dream,' but the market responded with a bucket of cold water—ETH suddenly plummeted, falling back to around 4450 USDT, with the 24-hour increase shrinking to only 1.07%. This rollercoaster ride is all about the thrill!

First section: Market sentiment is 'fire and ice.'

A few days ago, ETH's performance was incredible, with institutions entering, ETF expectations, and the Layer 2 explosion... Good news kept coming, and the price kept rising. But just when everyone thought the bull market was accelerating, the market suddenly 'hit the brakes.' The key level of 4500 USDT is like a layer of window paper; once pierced, it was quickly pushed back down before it could even warm up. What does this indicate? The market has become divided! Some believe ETH is undervalued and are decisively bottom-fishing; others feel that the short-term rise is too much and are taking profits. Under the tug-of-war of long and short positions, volatility becomes a daily routine.

Second section: Why is it so hard to stabilize at 4500?

4500 USDT is not only a psychological barrier but also a strong technical resistance level. The last time ETH surged to this position was during the great bull market of 2021, when many were trapped by chasing highs; the memories are still fresh. Now that the price is approaching here again, the selling pressure is naturally considerable. Coupled with the recent repeated expectations of Fed interest rate hikes, large funds are cautious and 'sell after a rise' has become a short-term consensus. However, a drop may not be a bad thing; flushing out weak hands can actually benefit a healthy rise in the future.

Third section: How do we view the future trend? Deep Brother's hard-core analysis.

From a macro perspective, the bull market logic for ETH still holds:

Institutional funds continue to flow in—Once the spot ETF is approved, it will bring substantial buy orders.

Layer 2 ecosystem explosion—Arbitrum, Optimism, and other chains reaching new highs in on-chain activity, with reduced Gas fees promoting application implementation.

Deflationary model support—After EIP-1559, the amount of ETH burned continues to increase, improving the long-term supply-demand structure.

But in the short term, the market may enter a period of fluctuation:

Strong resistance above: 4800-5000 USDT is the historical high; breaking through requires massive capital support.

Support below: 4000 USDT is a key psychological barrier; as long as it holds, the trend remains intact.

Fourth section: What should ordinary investors do? Deep Brother's practical strategy.

Buy on dips, don't chase highs: Do not blindly increase positions above 4500; wait for a pullback to the 4200-4300 range to buy in batches.

Regular investment for long-term positions: If you are optimistic about ETH's development in the next 2-3 years, invest a fixed amount every month, ignoring short-term fluctuations.

Beware of black swans: Pay attention to Fed policies, geopolitical issues, and other macro risks; keep 20% cash to cope with extreme market conditions.

Deep Brother's heartfelt words.

After so many years in the cryptocurrency world, my biggest insight is: 'In a bull market, making money relies on courage; in a bear market, surviving relies on wisdom.' This round of ETH's market is far from over, but the process will definitely be full of twists and turns. Remember, the true winner is not the one who predicts the most accurately, but the one who has the most stable strategy.

Note: This article is originally by Deep Brother discussing trends; all myths of getting rich begin with respecting risks! Cryptocurrency insights, follow me for more.