@Solayer #BuiltonSolayer $LAYER

“LAYER 0.63 Life and Death Line! Are the market makers secretly accumulating? 3 times profit-loss ratio bottom-fishing plan exposed, wait another 3 months if missed!”

【Summary in One Sentence】

The price is hovering below the 2-week value center at 0.648 with decreasing volume and a downward trend, while contract positions have decreased for 7 days but encounter hidden buying pressure in the spot market; if 0.60 does not break, short covering will trigger a V-shaped rebound.

【Key Interval Structure and Volume Distribution】

1. Value Anchoring Area: Heavy selling pressure above POC 0.6478 (Down Vol 65%), sparse buying below, forming a “high cup” shape.

2. High Volume Area: 0.6304–0.6347 (HVN) has traded 330 million pieces in the last 3 days, serving as a short-term buffer zone; 0.599–0.601 (HVN) is the 2-week platform bottom, breaking it will accelerate the decline.

3. Low Volume Gap: 0.573–0.585 (LVN) and 0.691–0.694 (LVN), corresponding to the rapid crossing zones for bulls to add positions/shorts to cover.

4. 70% Volume Coverage Area 0.5956–0.7152; the current price at 0.6305 is in the lower 1/3 area, slightly oversold.

【Momentum Verification】

• POC area Down Vol 65%, shorts still dominate.

• 0.630 HVN area Up Vol only 28%, needs to break through 0.6347 with increased volume to confirm bulls are back.

• The lower Bollinger Band outer edge at 0.6327 has been pierced, RSI 32, short-term oversold.

【Market Cycle】

Mid-term downward channel + short-term oversold rebound window, if 0.60 does not break, it is seen as the end of the bear market and consolidation to build a bottom.

【Trading Strategy】

• Aggressive: Enter after a pullback to the LVN edge at 0.628–0.630, with Up Vol >60% and a 15m bullish close, stop loss at 0.623 (below HVN), target 0.648 (POC)/0.662, risk-reward ratio 3.1:1.

• Steady: Wait for a volume breakout above 0.6347, then enter on a pullback to 0.632–0.634, stop loss at 0.628, target 0.648–0.654, risk-reward ratio 2.4:1.

• Conservative: If it breaks below 0.623, give up on going long, short from 0.620–0.623, stop loss at 0.628, target 0.601, risk-reward ratio 2.8:1.

【Risk Warning】

If 0.623 is lost or 4h Up Vol ratio drops below 40%, the strategy is invalid; macro bearish news or a BTC plunge will amplify the decline.