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๐น Key Indicators & Current Data
๐ฐ Price: $4,306.05 (-0.29% 24h)
๐ 24h Range: $4,166.77 โ $4,366.46
๐ Volume: 640,672.51 ETH ($2.73B USDT)
๐ EMAs:
EMA(7): $4,111.21 โ
EMA(25): $3,753.60 โ
EMA(99): $3,045.21 โ
(Price well above all EMAs = Strong bullish trend)
๐ RSI(6): 79.48 โ โ Overbought (โฅ70 = risk of pullback)
๐ Stoch RSI: %K=87.55 | %D=81.29 โ โ Bearish divergence risk
๐ Volume: MA(5) > MA(10) โ Bullish background, but current vol is -84% vs MA(5) โ Weakening momentum
๐ Support/Resistance:
๐ก Support: $4,111 โ $4,166 โ $3,753
๐ Resistance: $4,366 โ $4,500
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๐ฏ Price Prediction
๐ Short-term (1-3 days):
โ Likely pullback to $4,166 or $4,111 due to overbought RSI & Stoch RSI
โ Bullish if price holds above $4,166 โ Retest $4,366
๐ Medium-term (1-2 weeks):
๐ Break $4,366 โ $4,500-$4,600 possible
๐ Break $4,111 โ $3,753 retest
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๐ Trade Plan
๐ด Scenario 1: Correction Play (70%)
Short Entry: $4,300-$4,350 OR below $4,250
Targets: $4,166 โ $4,111
Aggressive Target: $4,000
Stop Loss: $4,370
๐ข Scenario 2: Bullish Continuation (30%)
Trigger: Break $4,366 + Vol >100K ETH
Long Entry: $4,370
Targets: $4,500 โ $4,600
Stop Loss: $4,250
๐ Dip-Buy Strategy
Buy Zones: $4,166 (RSI <60) OR $4,111 (EMA7)
Stop Loss: $4,050
Target: $4,366
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๐ก Risk Management
๐ Max 2% capital per trade (high volatility)
โ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3
โ Take 50% profit at 1st target โ Trail stop
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๐ Key Watch Factors
1. ๐ RSI <70 โ Confirms correction
2. ๐ Volume > MA(5) for breakout strength
3. ๐ Stoch RSI bearish cross = Strong sell signal
4. ๐ ETH ecosystem news (upgrades, gas fees, institutional inflows)
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โ Summary
> ETH is in a strong uptrend but overheated.
๐ Best play: Short near $4,300-$4,350 targeting $4,166 OR wait for a pullback to buy at $4,166-$4,111.
For breakout longs โ Only above $4,366 with volume confirmation.
โก Caution: Overbought readings = high pullback risk!
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Trade From here ๐ $ETH
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