The winter rooftop in 2017 was particularly cold, the four red words "forced liquidation" on my phone screen pierced my eyes with pain. Losing 5 million in principal wasn't enough; I also incurred 8 million in debt — that was when I realized that the cryptocurrency world is not a casino, but a battlefield that requires discipline.


Now my account has a stable monthly turnover of seven figures, with annual returns exceeding eight figures, relying not on the "myth of hundredfold coins", but on a trading system rebuilt after countless failures. Today, I will break down this "three axes of crypto survival" that helped me turn around; once you understand it, you can also break free from the vicious cycle of "chasing highs - liquidation - borrowing money."

First axe: trend anchoring technique, three lines to see through the essence of rises and falls.

Don't be fooled by the colorful K-line charts; the real trend signals are hidden in the three moving averages:


The 5-day moving average is the lifeline for short-term trading. This March, Bitcoin rebounded every time it touched the 5-day moving average, and the ironclad rule of "no shorting on the line" helped me avoid three false short signals; in April, when Ethereum broke below the 5-day moving average, I decisively liquidated my holdings, avoiding a subsequent 30% crash. Remember: only go long above the 5-day line, and leave the market if it breaks.
The 20-day moving average is the watershed for swing trading. In May, when Solana retraced to the 20-day moving average, I increased my position and made a 40% profit; however, on the day Ethereum broke below the 20-day moving average in April, those in the community shouting "buy the dip" are still stuck at $1,800. The core logic: a pullback above the 20-day moving average is an opportunity, but breaking through must lead to a reduction in position.
The 60-day moving average is the lifeline between bulls and bears. This year, Bitcoin rebounded twice around $60,000 (the support level of the 60-day moving average), while LUNA closed below the 60-day line for three consecutive days before its collapse; I called for liquidation and was criticized for "creating panic," but later saw it go to zero. The power of the trend never leaves opportunities for those who rely on luck.
Three types of must-win formations to remember: a "trend recovery signal" that rebounds quickly within 3 days after breaking (like RNDR rebounding 50% in three days in April); a "strong relay formation" of a big candle followed by a small one before another big candle (recently, ARB is following this structure); a "power accumulation starting point" with a shrinking volume pullback above the 120-day moving average (before TON started in February, it had this trend, later tripling).

Second axe: capital firewall, position determines how long you can survive.

The secret from 10,000 to 1,000,000 lies not in choosing coins but in capital management:


The position allocation formula must be ingrained: for amounts under 10,000, single currency positions should not exceed 30% (don't put all your eggs in one basket); for 10,000 to 100,000, diversify into 3-5 sectors (AI, DePIN, blockchain games, etc. in balanced configuration); for amounts over 100,000, you must leave 20% in stablecoins, as having bullets during a crash is more important than profits.
In contract trading, I never go all in, but follow the "trial and error - increase position - take profit" three-step method: last year, ORDI rose from $10 to $100, I used 5% of my position to test the direction (stop loss at 3%, if wrong, I only lose pocket money); when I profit 10%, I increase my position to 10% to let the profits run; after breaking above the 60-day moving average, I increase to 15%, taking profits in steps of 30%/50%/70%, rolling from 0.3 BTC to 25 BTC without ever being fully invested.
Three major red lines to avoid: 90% of new coins on their first day are traps for retail investors, don't touch them; from 3-5 AM, liquidity is poor and prone to spikes, don't trade; after making profits, never amplify leverage — I've seen too many people earn $100,000 and then increase leverage by 10 times, only to lose everything including their principal.

Third axe: daily battle map, turning trading into systematic work.

The details of making money are hidden in daily discipline; I steadfastly do these 5 things:


8:00 AM: Check overnight liquidation data — a single day's liquidation exceeding $1 billion indicates the market sentiment is overheated, and positions should be reduced; 9:30 AM: Screen for breakthrough coins with both price and volume rising (look at both DEX and CEX to find truly entering funds); 2:00 PM: Check news on holding coins (regulatory dynamics and project progress must be laid out in advance); 8:00 PM: Review the trading records (note the three types of mistakes: stop-loss not set, increasing position too early, and greed not taking profits); 11:00 PM: Set overnight orders with stop-loss and take-profit, and get a good night's sleep.
Last year, with this process, I avoided 6 crashes and captured 4 doubling markets. Trading is never about staying up all night and gambling on luck; it's about earning certainty through discipline.
From being 8 million in debt to where I am now, my deepest realization is: surviving longer in the cryptocurrency space is more important than earning quickly. In March of this year, many people chased after a certain altcoin, but I refrained from moving as long as it didn't break below the 60-day moving average, and it indeed crashed later — missing 10 opportunities is 100 times better than stepping into one pit.
If you are also struggling in the cryptocurrency market, why not start practicing this discipline from today?

Let's discuss in the comments about the trading pitfalls you've encountered recently; next week I will choose typical cases for in-depth analysis.

Remember: the cryptocurrency market never rewards the bold, but rather the sober who can control their hands. Your trading system is the ship that can navigate through the bulls and bears.


If you want to delve into the cryptocurrency space but don't know where to start, and want to quickly understand the information gap, click on my profile and follow me for first-hand news and in-depth analysis.
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