“WIF Bloodbath 7% After, Should I Bottom Fish at 0.86 or Catch the Falling Knife at 0.78? This Article Teaches You How to Precisely Ambush a Rebound Using Volume Map!”

【One-Sentence Summary】

In the panic of a 131 million net outflow in 24h contracts and a 2.35M sell-off in spot trading, WIF has dropped below MA200 and the holding cost, but the buy orders are 2.14 times the sell orders, with RSI at 23.7 indicating oversold + the lower Bollinger Band at 0.845 is within reach, short-term bearish energy is depleting, and the value return window is opening.

【Key Interval Structure】

1. Value Anchor Zone: POC 1.0877 (3.01 billion trading volume), heavy selling pressure above, but the current price of 0.862 has deviated 21% from POC, possessing mean-reversion momentum.

2. High Volume Zone: 1.0509-1.0938 (HVN Cluster Zone), the first resistance band for short-term rebounds, with Up Volume accounting for only 42-46%, high probability of retracement upon encountering resistance.

3. Low Volume Gap: 0.8179-0.8547 (LVN Void), trading volume < 130 million, price can easily traverse quickly; if a breakout occurs above 0.8547, it can be seen as a bullish initiation signal.

4. 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 1.0387-1.2778, the current price is at the lower edge of the range, technically at the extreme oversold edge.

【Momentum Verification】

• 0.8179-0.8547 LVN Segment: Up Volume 39% → Seller Dominance, need to wait for >60% increase in volume before considering long positions.

• 1h Level Bollinger Band Lower Band 0.8456, price is close to the lower band and RSI is at 23.7, short-term bearish momentum is fading, a rebound is imminent.

【Market Cycle】

Medium-Term Downward Channel (14d Contract Holdings -16.94%, Price -25.92%), short-term entering an oversold recovery phase, probability of consolidation forming a bottom > continuation of one-sided decline.

【Trading Strategy】

• Aggressive: 0.845-0.850 LVN Pullback, enter when there is a ≥1.5 times average volume bullish candle + Up Volume > 60%, stop-loss at 0.837 (below HVN), first target at 0.888 (VAH), risk-reward ratio 2.4.

• Conservative: Wait for a volume breakout above 0.8547 LVN, then pull back without breaking, enter long at 0.856-0.860, stop-loss at 0.849, target 0.905, risk-reward ratio 2.8.

• Cautious: If it falls below 0.837, observe 0.818 LVN for reassessment.

【Risk Warning】

If the 1h close falls below 0.837 and Down Volume > 55%, the strategy is invalid, need to stop-loss and reverse to short down to 0.818.

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Thanks: “Silicon-Based Liquidity” for providing the foundational large model!

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