The answer to this question lies in two sets of data: a report from a compliant exchange in 2024 shows that 37% of beginners achieved positive returns in their first year, but only 5% could outpace inflation; while another third-party survey pointed out that nearly 60% of beginners' losses came from 'frequent trading within 3 months of entry'.
Clearly, beginners can make money, but definitely not by luck - this is more like a game that requires rules, and most people lose because they didn't understand the rules before sitting at the table.
Why can some beginners make money?
They often did three things right:
First, 'pay tuition' before 'placing bets': use no more than 10% of monthly income for trial and error, spend 1 month studying 'What is blockchain' and 'The difference between UTXO and account models', instead of immediately chasing 'hundred-fold coins' news. Data from a community shows that beginners who systematically studied (basic cryptocurrency) have a 42% lower probability of loss compared to direct operations.
Catch 'certain small opportunities': avoid high-volatility altcoins and enter from low-risk areas. For example, buying Bitcoin spot through compliant platforms, beginners holding for the long term (over 1 year) have a 68% probability of positive returns; or participate in decentralized stablecoin 'liquidity mining', earning 4%-5% annualized returns, equivalent to a 'crypto version of Yu'ebao'.
Use 'tools to avoid pitfalls': check project fund flows with blockchain explorers, view project team backgrounds on rating platforms (e.g., whether they have traditional finance experience), and reject 'anonymous teams + no white paper' air coins. This type of 'tool-dependent' beginners have a 70% lower probability of making mistakes compared to those who operate based on intuition.
What pits do most beginners fall into?
Taking 'short-term luck' as 'ability': chasing rises and selling on dips is the norm - seeing a coin rise by 20% and rushing in, dropping by 10% and immediately cutting losses; beginners with more than 50 trades a year have 90% less returns than holding cash.
Trusting 'insider news' more than trusting logic: 80% of 'big shots recommending coins' and 'private placement slots' in communities are scams. In one case, 100 beginners who trusted 'insider news' had an average loss of 63% of their principal.
Using a 'gambler's mindset' to bear risks: putting living expenses and mortgage money into the market, and breaking down psychologically when volatility exceeds 20%, being forced to 'cut losses'. The proportion of 'leveraged players' whose normal lives are affected after losses is as high as 89%.
For beginners wanting to make money, the most important thing is not 'what to buy', but 'how to prepare'.
Build a 'cognitive firewall': first understand three questions - 'Where does the value of this coin come from?' (Is it technological innovation or pure speculation?) 'Where does the money to buy it ultimately flow?' (To the project team or real users?) 'How much decline can I accept?' (Set a stop-loss point in advance, for example, exit if it drops by 15%).
Start as an 'observer': register for a simulated trading account, practice with virtual funds for 3 months, record the reasons for each operation, and review the reasons for losses. Data from a platform shows that beginners who underwent simulated training have 2.3 times higher real trading returns than those who operate directly.
Choose a track with a 'safety cushion' thickness: for example, compliant spot ETFs (with regulatory backing), Ethereum Layer 2 ecosystems (with continuous growth in users and transaction volume), and tokenized real-world assets (RWA, like buying gold with blockchain, which has 60% lower volatility than pure cryptocurrencies).
Ultimately, the cryptocurrency market is not a 'noob zone', but it is definitely a 'fool's grave'. The core of beginners being able to make money is not finding a 'foolproof secret', but understanding:
Here, returns are always tied to depth of understanding, patience, and risk control ability. Those who earn money by luck often lose it back due to lack of skill; while money earned through rules, even if slowly, is more likely to stay in hand.
For beginners, the real question is not 'Can I make money?' but 'Am I willing to learn how not to lose first?'. After all, in a market where projects disappear every day, surviving is itself a prerequisite for making money.
It's better to enjoy together than alone; you reach out, and I can pull you to shore!!!
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