Liquidation alarm has not been lifted, the market is turbulent, tonight will welcome an epic turning point!
Last night, the Federal Reserve's hawkish claws waved, Bitcoin instantly pinned and washed out $430 million positions, 144,246 traders were brutally harvested. However, this is just the prelude to the storm - tonight at 20:30, the US non-farm nuclear bomb is about to explode, the data will directly lock in the Federal Reserve's fate for a September rate cut, the cryptocurrency market faces the most severe life and death test this year!
I. Three death indicators for non-farm: This night will slaughter longs and shorts!
1. Employment numbers: 100,000 is the life and death line!
Below 100,000: Economic recession signal confirmed, September rate cut probability skyrockets, Bitcoin rockets up towards $120,000.
Above 150,000: Hawkish slaughter knife falls, BTC may crash to 110,000 defense line (current key support 116,000)
Forecast value of 110,000: The main forces have set up double-sided hunting traps, pinning amplitude may exceed 3,000 points!
2. Unemployment rate: 4.2% is just the beginning!
Breaking 4.3%: The red light of economic recession is on, the Federal Reserve is forced to turn dovish, institutions will frantically buy BTC spot ETFs.
Maintaining 4.1%: High interest rate strangulation continues, leveraged longs will face targeted explosions.
3. Hourly wage growth: 0.3% is the fatal temptation
Over 0.4%: The inflation demon resurrects, Powell must wield his hawkish claws, the Ethereum 3600 defense line may be annihilated.
Below 0.2%: Wage inflation collapses, countdown to violent rally in the crypto market begins!
II. Death signals appear on-chain: The giant whale's slaughter knife is already high!
Ethereum death trap: Last night, a giant whale precisely hunted, the $3,673 liquidation line was bloodied, $179 million long positions vanished into thin air! On-chain monitoring shows that a massive short mine is still laid in the $3,600-$3,700 range.
$2.34 billion ETH staking unlock: 640,000 ETH are queuing to escape, selling pressure nuclear bomb may explode at any time.
BlackRock's bloody bottom fishing: As retail investors cut losses, institutions devoured 27,000 ETH ($100 million) in a single day, staging a classic Wall Street hunting drama.
Bitcoin whale dark war: 15,000 BTC (worth $1.8 billion) are piling up for sale on Binance, OKX, Bybit, with selling pressure swords hanging high!
III. Powell's trump card exposed: September rate cut probability less than 50%!
The Federal Reserve's internal division has reached the worst state in 30 years - two of Trump's loyal board members openly rebel and demand a rate cut, Powell's hawkish front has fatal cracks!
'It is too early to assert a September rate cut' - Powell’s statement yesterday was indeed a smokescreen! If tonight's non-farm is below 100,000, the September rate cut probability will soar to 80%, and the dollar collapse will trigger a nuclear-level market in cryptocurrency!
IV. Counterattack strategy: Three moves to secure non-farm windfall
BTC nuclear explosion point
Long defense line: $116,411 (overnight main force bottom price)
Short squeeze point: $119,200 (pinning must explode area)
Breakout nuclear bomb: Losing 114,000 will trigger a 10% level crash
ETH death game
Bullish coffin board: $3,677 (the land of corpses last night)
Bearish grave: Breaking 3,795 will trigger a short-squeeze frenzy.
Doomsday script: Breaking below 3,600 may plunge into the abyss of 3,399.
Soros-style counterattack
Data below 100,000: ALL IN BTC spot + ETH call options
Data above 150,000: Lightning short BTC + buy the US dollar index.
Data meets expectations: Double-sided mine laying order, pinning profits steadily at 300%!
Historic moment arrives: Tonight at 20:30, millions of traders worldwide hold their breath for the explosion!
Old Zhu's summary:
Tonight is not about waiting for good news, but about betting on the expectation difference!
Since July, US economic data has been generally soft, and the market broadly expects non-farm to be weak; once the data 'meets or slightly lowers expectations,' the crypto circle will see a large influx of running capital, especially for top assets like BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, leading the overall explosion!
The current crypto circle is at a critical end of adjustment, the main force is waiting for a 'turning signal' to ignite; if non-farm is cold, Bitcoin aims for 120,000, and Ethereum directly challenging 3900+ is not a dream!
True masters complete layouts '1 second before the news lands,' waiting for the moment the data is announced, only responsible for watching the profits.
Tonight at 20:30, is the critical point for opportunity explosion!
Non-farm explosion ≠ US stocks take off, but the crypto circle is getting windy!
Follow Old Zhu, let's eat this wave of ‘news meat’ at the first moment!
When non-farm clashes with the Federal Reserve's internal turmoil, and when giant whales clash with institutional legions, this century's showdown will reshape the crypto market landscape. Remember Old Zhu's blood and tears advice: the moment the data is released, abandon technicals! Abandon faith! Focus solely on order flow to battle! Prepare your ammunition, we will see you on the battlefield!