Bitcoin Analysis as of July 31, 2025

📅 As of July 31, 2025, let's dive deep into Bitcoin’s market outlook. The current price stands at 118,380 USDT, with an opening at 117,840 USDT. Intraday volatility was limited, peaking at 118,600 USDT and bottoming at 117,782 USDT, reflecting a sideways movement throughout the day.

📈 RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 59, signaling that Bitcoin is not in overbought territory but still under healthy buying momentum. This suggests that the market maintains buying interest without overheating. It implies potential for a continued rise or minor sideways consolidation.

🔍 ADX (Average Directional Index) reads 23, which reflects a weak to moderate trend. There’s no clear dominance from buyers or sellers, pointing to market uncertainty and range-bound behavior.

⚡ ROC (Rate of Change) shows a mild positive move, with a +0.47% increase. This hints at a gentle upward momentum, supporting a slow but steady potential price climb in the short term.

💹 OBV (On-Balance Volume) sits at 181,151, reflecting high trading activity. If OBV keeps climbing until candle close, it could confirm bullish support. A declining OBV, however, would suggest weakening buying pressure.

⚖️ ATR (Average True Range) is at 2,607, pointing to moderate volatility. This level indicates movement, but not extreme swings. Price action is expected to remain calm but active.

🌟 Price Forecast Scenarios:
There’s a 7.63% probability that the price could reach 122,194 USDT, with a potential spike to 123,181 USDT, suggesting a bullish breakout scenario.

The dominant scenario (92.37% probability) points to a closing price near 117,742 USDT, possibly testing a low around 115,700 USDT, indicating a mild dip without major sell pressure.

❗ Bearish divergence exists only on the weekly timeframe, hinting at potential long-term downside risk. However, no daily or 3-day divergences are present, which supports short-term stability.

💡 In summary, Bitcoin is showing signs of sideways consolidation with a slight bullish bias. Major swings are unlikely in the short term. A close around 117,742 USDT is expected, though there’s a slim chance for upward action. The moderate ADX and neutral RSI suggest a balanced but indecisive market, while the slight ROC uptick leans bullish. Weekly divergence urges longer-term caution.

🚀 Expect price to oscillate between support and resistance levels, without sharp moves. Occasional rejections at highs may occur, but panic isn't warranted.

⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.
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