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FOMC Meeting Predictions and Market Analysis Report
Date July 30 2025
Market Expectations
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% in the July meeting marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change
According to CME FedWatch the probability of no rate cut in July stands at 96.9%, while the chances of a September cut are around 60%
Market Analysis
S&P 500 Trading up 0.49% with a current price of 6392.10
Nasdaq Trading up 0.37% with a current price of 23422.20
US Indices Broadly positive leading into the announcement with the S&P 500 and DJIA trading up 0.49% and 0.55% respectively
Key Factors Influencing the Fed's Decision
Inflation Remains above the Fed's 2% target, with core PCE rising 2.7 % year-over-year in April
Labor Market Weakening employment trends could force the Fed to act even if inflation remains sticky
Trade Deal Progress Recent agreements with Japan and the EU have reduced the risk of further escalation and eased inflationary pressure
Disclaimer
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice
The content is based on current market trends and is subject to change without notice Investors should consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions