Crypto Blogger Express

1. Top Trader Dove Eugene Ng Ah Sio

Dove updated at 15:10 today:

I have once again reduced most of my long positions and maintained a defensive stance. August has always been a difficult month to navigate, and I don't think there will be any smooth sailing this year.

Interestingly, this round of altcoin season may be the weakest in history; although the ETH price has risen, it has hardly brought any 'wealth effect'. This again indicates that institutions are leading the buying, and funds have not flowed back into altcoins (which also confirms my earlier point of sticking to ETH).

(Dove believes there is no major bull market for altcoins this year; this wave of ETH is about to rise to 4000, but altcoins have hardly risen, indicating that buying in the market is mainly from traditional financial institutions, and liquidity in the crypto circle remains poor. Dove also published a lengthy article on the impact of emotion on trading in the afternoon, which I will post later.)

2. Trader Vivian

Updates started at 00:00 Beijing time on July 30:

Made a small adjustment on the timeline:

Originally planned to gradually go long between lunch in New York and the opening in London, now adjusted to start averaging into positions between the Asian opening and the London opening—after 8 PM.

The 4-hour candlestick at noon is very bearish, indicating that a deep red candlestick may appear in the next 4 hours before the bottom is reached. The lower shadow may dip to as low as 115.9K before finding the bottom.

Therefore, a more prudent long strategy is to wait until the daily close stands above 117777 (the daily close above 'Thank God It’s Friday') before considering entering long.

Updated at 04:02 Beijing time on the 30th:

The key price level has not been regained; we may still see lower points before today's daily close.

The Asian session will be a suitable time to start going long.

Tomorrow's 4T (daily close) is an important confirmation point and a critical close for going long.

Updated at 08:00 Beijing time on the 30th:

$BTC updated, $BTC regains the TGIF level, but buyers are appearing near 117K.

This means the price may sweep low until midnight, and buyers are not active, so do not expect a significant rise tomorrow.

About a maximum increase of 5%.

Btc.D is strengthening at the weekly support level, altcoins will remain weak, with 118,888 - 120K being the top for tomorrow or the 4-hour cycle. Bulls need to close positions before the 4-hour cycle closes, and if possible, only take a long position.

Wednesday's movement is weak, suggesting a larger decline may occur in the coming days.

Updated at 20:02 Beijing time on the 30th:

BTC closed below TGIF on the 4-hour line, while BTC.D is in an upward trend.

This means that altcoins will continue to decline until the FOMC meeting, and BTC will still reach the range of 118,888-120K during or after the FOMC (Beijing time, early on the 31st). However, altcoins will continue to decline with little rebound; the plan is to start shorting now and hold until the FOMC, close the short during the FOMC, and then short again in batches in the 118,888-120K range.

(Vivian believes that altcoins will continue to decline today, BTC will rebound to 118,888-120K tomorrow, and then decline again. She lost on her BNB long position today.)

3. Top Trader Joshua

(Joshua believes)

4. Top Trader Altcoin Sherpa

Updated at 19:00 Beijing time:

The overall weakness of altcoins is very evident; $BTC only dropped by 0.0005%, but altcoins corrected by 10%. Overall, I currently do not have an active position and plan to wait for prices of the coins I like to drop a bit more before buying. However, I am still holding spot BTC, $HYPE, and Fartcoin.

I believe that altcoins will experience another wave of increase in the short term, the only condition being that BTC must surge significantly and break the current range. All other scenarios (BTC consolidating or declining) in my view will lead to altcoins dropping another 10% to over 30%.

(Sherpa believes altcoins are currently weak, and he is temporarily waiting and not bottom-fishing. Only when BTC rises past the consolidation range can altcoins stop declining.)

5. Wave Theory Liu Yudong

July 30, 2025 Daily Chart

Prices maintaining above 115738 indicate that the 5th wave of the red line is ongoing.

This 5th wave marks the end of the rise; a new high completes it, and after the 5th wave, there will be a pullback.

Only a significant drop in U.S. stocks will trigger a drop below 114723, expanding the top to 123218.

(Liu Yudong believes that as long as U.S. stocks do not crash, BTC will continue to make new highs, but after the next wave of increase, there will be a long period of pullback, which can be understood as altcoins turning bearish.)

V. Summary

As the market drops, the number of posts on Twitter sharply decreases; I don't want to say anything about these individuals.

Currently, Vivian still believes there will be a wave of rebound, but has lowered the high point expectations for BTC and is also bearish on altcoins.

Liu Yudong is firmly bullish but has patched his view; as long as U.S. stocks do not crash, BTC can continue to make new highs. However, if U.S. stocks crash, it will drop below 114723 again.

Vivian's prediction of a significant drop at the beginning of August is getting closer. If a significant drop really occurs, it will definitely be led by a crash in U.S. stocks. I am currently holding two long positions, which I will clear for safety after this rebound.

To say something post-event, I believed BTC would rebound as expected tonight when it was at 117500, so I didn't lose my long position. However, during this wave of increase, I will look for opportunities to clear my positions as altcoins are performing too poorly.

I think this wave of BTC will rise to at least 120500, which is just a 2% fluctuation.

Lastly, let me say something.

Starting August 1, Binance will adjust its rebate policy, starting to give users a 20% rebate on perpetual contracts (previously only on spot perpetual), but it will also close the re-certification channel for old users.

As of the 31st, Binance's old users can still go through re-certification and bind the rebate invitation code. Over the years, even a 20% fee adds up to quite a sum, so everyone should consider it carefully.

I have the operation process here, message me, and I will tell you how to operate.

Moreover, I will also give you a 15-day Discord membership, and if your trading volume meets the standards later, I can keep giving you membership.

Save and profit, having the best of both worlds.

Statement:

The above information is for reference only and not trading advice; the crypto circle is high risk, and participation requires caution.

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