The bull market has come, everyone is shouting 'rush into coins', but have you rushed? How many times? Were you successful? Then, are there people with these confusions:
🌰 Why does the Meme that others bought double in a day, while mine is still stuck?
🌰 Watching the coin price at 0.00001, thinking it can take off, only to have it halve right after buying?
🌰 They say it’s a 'new coin', but a quick check reveals its market cap is larger than many old projects...
I know everyone doesn't like to see rigid frameworks. So we won't speak empty words, using 5 simple but extremely key indicators to see through the essence of 'potential coins'. You don't need to know K-lines or on-chain analysis; beginners can understand!
📌 Indicator one: Price — Don't be fooled by 'cheap coins'.
Cheap ≠ can rise, seeing a coin at only $0.01 makes you think, 'Wow, if it just rises to 10 cents, I'll be rich!' This is called price illusion.
The key is to see: how many coins are there in total? If the total is in the trillions, even if it doubles, the total market cap may already catch up to BNB.
👇 There is a formula:
Coin price × Circulation = Market cap.
So, the coin price is just the surface; the market cap determines how much room for rise is left.
✅ The first step to rush into the coin: Don't just look at the price, first check if its market cap is already 'too large'.
📌 Indicator two: Market cap — See which ceiling it is currently at.
If you want to rush into coins that can multiply by 10 or 100 times, the market cap must be suitably small.
It's very difficult for a coin with a market cap of 10 billion USD to rise another 10 times to 100 billion. But for a coin with only 30 million in market cap, even if it just rises to 300 million, that's 10 times.
If you're rushing into mainstream coins, doubling is considered lucky; rushing into obscure small coins, the market cap determines your maximum potential profit.
General experience reference 👇:
<50 million USD market cap: There is a chance for a surge, suitable for surfing.
50 million ~ 500 million: Entering the 'focus zone'.
1 billion: suitable for long-term layout, not suitable for desperate rush.
✅ The second step to rush into the coin: Look at the market cap level, match it with your target return.
📌 Indicator three: Circulation — Fewer chips are like a double-edged sword.
🌰 Total supply of A coin is 100 million, circulating 100 million → All are in the market.
🌰 Total supply of B coin is 1 billion, circulating 10 million → Only 1% is in circulation.
We rush in to buy B coin, watching the price soar, thinking it's about to take off, but two days later a part is unlocked, and the project team dumps it, directly cutting it in half.
This is the magic of circulation:
The fewer the chips, the easier it is to be driven by funds; but it is also easier to be 'harvested' in the opposite direction.
If a coin has a low market cap and even smaller circulation, it can indeed surge early. But you need to be clear:
Is there a linear unlocking plan?
Who holds the most uncirculated portion? (Project team, VC, or foundation?)
✅ The third step to rush into the coin: Pay attention to the circulation ratio; small circulation coins shouldn't be held too long; understand to take profits.
🌝 Why say this, [alpha received a ⏰ airdrop, thousands of 20u are reluctant to sell, now only 4.5u left].
📌 Indicator four: Price changes — Increase ≠ opportunity, it may also be 'the point of taking over'.
Seeing a coin rise +200% in the past 7 days is very tempting!
Don't rush, it might be a project that others have already ambushed three days ago.
Going in now is 'standing guard', not 'taking off'.
To see the real launch signal, you need to look at three words:
Launch (gentle rise + increased volume).
Acceleration (explosive rise + amplified emotions).
Distribution (high surge + volatility + low volume).
When the price rises quickly and fiercely, it often indicates the 'main force distribution period'.
✅ The fourth step to rush into the coin: Don’t just look at 'whether it has risen', but see 'is it rising from the starting point, or from the endpoint'.
📌 Indicator five: Market cap changes — Only real funds entering the market are the true 'takeoff signals'.
Many coins' prices are rising, but the market cap hasn't increased much, why?
Because only the 'price' is rising, with no new money flowing in. It could be controlled by old hands, or the project team 'pulling it up themselves'. But if you discover:
❗ Market cap steadily increasing.
❗ Number of addresses increasing.
❗ On-chain TVL has also increased.
This is real money entering the market. At this time, if we enter again, it's not taking over but following the trend.
✅ The fifth step to rush into the coin: Combine market cap and on-chain fund flows to judge if it’s real 'hot money inflow'.
Written at the end:
The coin circle is not a casino; although it seems highly volatile, many 'surges' have traceable patterns behind them.
Don’t be fooled by the price, see the market cap size clearly, understand the circulation structure, track price signals, and identify real funds coming in.
This is the most fundamental screening logic for 'beginners rushing into coins'.
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