1. Cycle Patterns and Historical Lows
Bitcoin accumulates lows every four years, generally post-halving and after deep corrections.
March 2020: ~$5,000 (COVID crash)
November 2022: ~$16,000 (bear market)
June 2023: ~$27,000 (post-bear consolidation)
The graph shows these historical lows and the upward progression.
2. Where will the next bottom be?
Based on:
Typical retracement: 40–50% from cyclical highs.
Recent peaks: ~$120,000 (June 2025).
Macro factors: Monetary policy, institutional adoption, and investment flow.
Optimistic floor projection:
Range: $60,000 – $70,000 USD
Timing: Between late 2025 and the first half of 2026.
3. Implications for investors
Accumulation zone: $60,000 – $70,000
Confirmation signals: Increasing volume on declines, historical supports, less volatile macro news.
The next 'floor' for Bitcoin could be around $60,000 – $70,000 USD, marking the last entry opportunity before a new bullish cycle that leads to even higher peaks.
Incredible how the value of BTC in 2010 was only $0.06 and after 15 years it hovers around $117,000 per unit!