4. Cryptocurrency blogger express
1. Top trader Pigeon
The pigeon updated this morning:
I recently bought some $PUMP.
Although I did not participate in the launch due to the high attention it received, this panic sell-off piqued my interest.
Most investors' average entry price may be around 0.005 or higher, after all, the FOMO when it launched was very serious.
And now the price has reached 0.004, almost everyone is losing money, especially against the backdrop of ETH rising 30% in a week.
Holding a coin that has declined by 25% is very painful for retail investors, so there are already obvious signs of cutting losses and surrender.
0.004 should be a key support level.
After all, the ICO pricing is at this level, and it was severely oversubscribed at that time (remember how many people complained about not being able to get a share?).
So I bet this price is just a temporary phenomenon.
In addition, there are some potential positive outcomes including:
1. Alon returns and actually does something for token holders (currently, the market generally expects he's just draining token value).
2. PF regaining market share relative to BonkFun
Under these factors, I believe $PUMP has a chance to rebound to the 0.006~0.007 range, suitable for a wave of swing trading.
(The pigeon called for a pump at 10 AM today, and the pump responded with a 10% rise. After a drop in the afternoon, it continued to rise again. Unfortunately, I didn't see it in time, or I would have notified everyone to get in.)
2. Trader Vivian
Updated at 10:46 PM Beijing time on July 18:
We will build long positions in three batches: today, Sunday, and Tuesday morning. During the process of building positions in batches, your holdings may temporarily turn into a loss. That's just the reality. If you can't handle it, then don't do it, but this is the best way to build a position.
When the time comes, I will update the corresponding sections. If you are slowly building your position, the volatility is not that extreme, and it can be managed completely. Stop complaining that you can't do short-term trading. The profits from Trump's trade are enough for you to operate short-term for a whole week.
People who complain all day will be kicked out; this 'everything should have' mentality is already too exaggerated.
Updates started at 4:30 AM Beijing time on the 19th:
The TGIF short has ended; please do not make any more intraday shorts. The daily line must close above TGIF. If it does not, altcoins will continue to decline throughout the weekend until the weekly line stands above TGIF again. I suggest you take some time away from the screen to rest, as the upcoming market may be very volatile. I have already timely closed my shorts.
Updates started at 8:04 AM Beijing time on the 19th:
Daily line closing update:
As expected, the daily line closed below TGIF but above 117777. This means that the market is still in a structural retracement phase.
At the same time, altcoins will continue to decline, so it's not safe to go long at this position.
According to the original plan:
Let the market drop a bit more. Once the weekly line closes above TGIF again, we will start to build long positions in batches. If you opened a daily long position after my signal to close shorts, now I suggest you also close the longs. If you are doing batch longs under low leverage, you can still hold.
If you are still considering going short, please wait until the price rebounds back to TGIF level before shorting. Before that, some altcoins may suddenly pump, and you can easily get swept back and forth.
(Vivian timely reminded to close shorts early this morning. Although most of us were sleeping, she plans to open new long positions in batches. Existing low leverage can continue to hold; some altcoins might drop a bit more.)
3. Top trader Joshua
(Joshua hasn't updated.)
4. Top trader Altcoin Sherpa
Updated at 10:58 AM Beijing time today:
Alright, I re-entered $PUMP, preparing to be cut again.
Current positions:
$PUMP (I might be a bit silly, but I think the risk has been clarified around a market cap of 4 billion.)
$ETH (low leverage perpetual long, target is 4000+)
Holding flat in spot:
$BTC
Fartcoin
$HYPE (Although I am reducing my position, I feel that I have already taken most of the profits... it might still rise to $100, but now it's just about 'okay fine').
Daily Fartcoin promotion time:
Why can't this thing far exceed historical highs? The market cap is only 3 billion now.
Compared to other historical top meme coins, it is ridiculously cheap:
$DOGE: 74 billion
$SHIB: 35 billion
$PEPE: 10 billion
$WIF: 4.5 billion
Market enthusiasm remains high.
(Sherpa also bought pump today. He thinks fartcoin can still rise, but personally, I think don't believe in those big promises; it's time to take profits.)
5. Top trader Nachi
He updated last night:
Looking back at my bold prediction from three months ago (citing tweets from April), it was almost perfectly fulfilled. I still insist that this round of the bull market has entered the final stage... Let's see if I can accurately catch the peak in August.
"My basic prediction is: this summer belongs to money printing, not to lying flat. I believe from April to August is the most bullish period of 2025 because the market shifts from extreme bearish sentiment/events to -
For example: Trump reducing some tariffs,
The Federal Reserve and other central banks will be able to lower interest rates and release liquidity. If by June Trump actually intensifies tax increases, then I would be wrong. The market should peak around the end of summer, when liquidity and favorable events peak.
Review of past suggestions and performance:
I should be one of the earliest to call the market bottom, boldly suggesting to enter at ETH $1600. Since then, the increase has been:
$BTC : 85K → 120K
$ETH: 1600 → 3600
$SUI: 2.16 → 3.87
$HYPE: 21 → 44
Currently, I still hold most of my positions, but I think it is time to be more cautious with your long positions and leverage. The best aggressive buying time was in April, not now.
(Nachi accurately predicted in April that summer would be a bull market, and now believes the market will peak at the end of August and then turn bearish. At least altcoins will turn bearish, so everyone should prepare in advance.)
Five, summary
I wasn't planning to update today, but some important information came up, so I added an update.
Vivan plans to build long positions in batches; both ETH and SOL are strong and won't drop. I also plan to bring my position back; currently, most coins are slightly lower than my liquidation price the night before. I had placed some buy orders before sleeping last night, but unfortunately, they didn't get filled. I will focus on buying back SOL and BGB; these two seem due for a rebound. I'm considering swapping launchcoin for pump.
Today the pigeon called for a pump, but unfortunately, I was sleeping in the morning. If the price retraces tonight, I will get in.
The most important information today is the market development trend:
Nachi believes the market will top out at the end of August, and the major good news will be when the peak occurs. The pigeon said yesterday that the bull market is halfway through, but it can still rise for a while. Johusa previously mentioned that the market might see a turning point in early September.
Liu Yudong's bullish target for BTC is 132K.
Vivian believes that the market will flash crash in early August and then continue to rise until it peaks at the time of interest rate cuts in September.
In summary, the market is likely to peak at the end of August or early September.
Do not believe the huge promises drawn by various online experts, such as ETH 8000, 10,000, BTC 150,000 or 160,000; believing these will only trap you at the top of the mountain. You must run early; exiting safely gives you a chance to make new trades. Being trapped will only lead to deeper losses and chronic death.
All altcoin pumps are for offloading. After the bull market frenzy, it will quickly drop by 95%, then drop by 90%, basically to zero. Even mainstream altcoins will drop 90% in market cap. Therefore, you must run early; whether you earn more or less doesn't matter; having capital means there is still a chance. In a bear market, we can also short altcoins to make money.
One more time:
If you enter late, you should exit early. Do not heavily invest in a single coin (unless it is BTC), and do not use high leverage. When chasing increases, be sure to set stop-losses. Set stop-losses early. If you lose, you can earn it back; don't be reluctant.
Look at OTHERS (total market cap of altcoins excluding the top 10 coins):
Currently, the total market value of altcoins is not very high, conservatively estimating it could reach the level of April last year, so there is no rush to liquidate for safety; we will continue to observe later.
Finally, there's an activity that I hope everyone can participate in:
There is currently a KCGI team trading competition on a certain exchange that is still in the team formation stage. If you are using a certain exchange, please join our team. After that, just trade normally. After the event ends, everyone will receive airdrop rewards. The total prize pool is 6 million U. Currently, our team has 52 members, ranking around 75th. If we reach 100 members, we will rank in the top 50. Friends who bind the rebate account have a monthly trading volume exceeding 110 million U, so we can expect to get some rewards. The more people, the more power. You can join the team and receive rewards regardless of whether you registered with my invitation code.
No harm in joining quickly.
On the app homepage, find 'KCGI competition for a 6 million prize pool'. Click to enter; if you can't find it, swipe right a few times.
Then click to join the team, enter in the search box: Crypto Express
Just click to join the team.
After entering the team, just trade as usual every day; the competition period is from July 24 to August 12, and the rewards will be announced on August 14.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only and is not trading advice. The cryptocurrency market is high risk; participation should be cautious.
Community introduction:
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