#交易策略误区 Five Major Core Misconceptions**

1. **Blindly Chasing Historical Gains**

Mistakenly believing that "a plummeting coin must rebound," ignoring the risk of project failure (over 70% of altcoins have gone to zero from 2020 to 2024).

2. **FOMO-Driven High Pursuit**

Caught up in social media hype (like Elon Musk's tweet driving DOGE to surge 200% in a single day), failing to set stop-losses leads to significant losses.

3. **Overly Trusting "Technical Narratives"**

Heavy on slogans but light on execution (like "one million TPS" and "metaverse finance"), over 60% of projects have fewer than 1000 active on-chain addresses.

4. **Leveraging Misuse Amplifies Risks**

Altcoins have volatility 3-5 times that of Bitcoin; using 10x leverage can lead to liquidation with just a 20% fluctuation (the average liquidation loss in the 2023 LUNA incident was 83%).

5. **Passively Waiting for "Altcoin Season"**

Blindly believing that all altcoins will rise during the later stages of a bull market, ignoring the trend of funds concentrating on leading assets (SOL/AVAX) and compliant assets.

### 💡 **Core Rational Strategies**

- **Data Validation**: Only include projects with on-chain active addresses and TVL (Total Value Locked) > $1 billion in the observation pool.

- **Hedged Allocation**: Altcoin positions should account for < 15% of total holdings, and must be paired with BTC/ETH for hedging.

- **Mechanical Take-Profit and Stop-Loss**: Gradually sell off at a 50% profit, exit immediately at a 15% loss, to avoid emotional decision-making.

> 📌 Key Lesson: **Altcoins are essentially a probability game**, and survival requires discipline to combat market noise.