Recently, I saw a KOL sharing a so-called 'peak escape checklist,' which listed 30 peak signal indicators, none of which have been met so far. To be honest, I saw this checklist back in January. At that time, he posted daily, saying the indicators weren't met and advised everyone to hold on tight. As a result, when the market plummeted in March and April, he quietly changed this chart from 'Bull Market Peak Warning Chart' to 'DCA Reference Chart.' This isn't about discrediting anyone but rather reminding everyone: no one can perfectly escape the peak based on a set of 'peak indicators.'

1. Escaping the peak is a process of retreating while advancing, not waiting for all signals to light up before taking action.

Currently, various peak models about BTC have indeed not yet reached an absolute peak, but that does not mean we can safely hold until the last moment. The essence of escaping the peak is to reduce positions in batches; it is the process of gradually realizing profits at the end of a bull market.
No one can perfectly sell at the highest point, but as long as the direction is correct, the rhythm is reasonable, and position management is proper, you have already outperformed most people. If you insist on waiting for all indicators to be in place before liquidating, I can tell you in advance: this time, you will most likely fail to escape the peak.

2. Don't be misled by 'institutional consensus': BTC will not rise forever.

Some say: 'The cryptocurrency market is becoming like the stock market, and large funds only recognize Bitcoin.' Thus, they start to leverage continuously, betting that BTC will continue its bull run. Wake up! In 2025-2026, both the stock market and BTC are almost certain to experience a bear market-level correction. Just look at the 30% single-day drop of ETH on February 3rd; it’s clear that BTC won't be able to stand alone—such as dropping from 110,000 to 80,000, or even lower, is completely possible. Humanity + leverage = disaster. The volatility of the secondary market is never just a technical issue; it is also a battleground of human nature. BTC will not go to zero, but it is not a perpetual motion machine either. Not setting defenses, not reducing positions, and not guarding during the late stages of a bull market is akin to gambling with your life.

3. Independent judgment is more important than blindly following KOLs.

Those who have always followed KOLs shouting slogans often find themselves stuck at the peak when the bull market ends, trapped throughout the entire bear market. You think you are waiting for 'signals,' but you are actually just waiting for excuses. You wait for others to make decisions for you, for so-called 'data' to confirm a trend reversal, and in the end, all you get is 'too late.' Remember one thing:

‘Following your own plan often yields similar results; chasing trends is what leads to complete failure.’

The first step to investing profitably is never about choosing the right coin or seizing the market, but rather establishing your own trading system and judgment logic.



At this stage of the market, it's no longer a question of 'whether to enter,' but rather 'how to exit.' Don't blindly trust 'peak indicators' anymore, and don't fantasize that someone will help you hit every rhythm perfectly. In the late stages of a bull market, the true experts are gradually reducing their positions, controlling risks, and protecting profits. Those still waiting for 'all signals to be complete' often end up being the last to take over.


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