When retail investors are cautiously staring at CPI data, Wall Street giants are using 1.5 billion US dollars of ETF shells to blast open the liquidity gate - the corpses of 54,000 shorts last night proved: the crypto world has no sympathy for data slaves, only rewards expectation hunters
I. The Fed's late-night 'Triple Strike': The signal of interest rate cuts has been upgraded from secret code to explicit signal
Last night, the global market witnessed a historic turning point: three core figures of the Federal Reserve rarely released interest rate cut signals simultaneously, and the policy shift was upgraded from ambiguous hints to a strategic general offensive!
Trump's 'Political Nuclear Bomb': The President roared on the Truth Social platform 'The Fed should cut interest rates quickly', and even threatened to appoint a 'shadow chairman' to put pressure on Powell, pushing the monetary policy game to a fever pitch;
Waller's 'Technical Endorsement': This governor, once known for his hawkish stance, suddenly changed his tune, insisting that the July rate cut was 'unrelated to political motives', in fact paving the way for a policy shift;
Daly's 'Autumn Double Kill Order': The San Francisco Fed President directly threw out a 'two rate cuts' roadmap, and locked in the autumn implementation window, completely igniting market expectations
This late-night raid was by no means accidental - just 48 hours ago, the Fed's June meeting minutes had already foreshadowed it: 'Most officials believe that interest rate cuts are appropriate this year', and internal hawkish voices were crushed!
II. Liquidity Tsunami Sweeps the Crypto World: 1.5 Billion US Dollars of Institutional Shells have been Loaded
Policy signals are transformed into real money and silver pouring into the chain:
ETF transformed into a blood-sucking behemoth: BlackRock's IBIT sucked in 83 million US dollars in a single day, and the US Bitcoin spot ETF has net inflows for 7 consecutive days, with a total ammunition depot exceeding 15 billion US dollars! This is equivalent to 10,700 BTC being permanently locked by institutions every day 27;
Exchange inventory issues a red alert: Centralized exchange BTC reserves have plummeted to 2.4 million, and ETH inventory has fallen to a two-year low of 17.1 million Liquidity exhaustion meets the flood of interest rate cuts, and a surge has become the only way out;
Derivatives powder keg doubles: Bitcoin options nominal open interest exceeds 40 billion US dollars, ETH options OI exceeds 20 billion US dollars, and the Put/Call ratio of 0.52 exposes the fatal weakness of shorts!
Last night, Bitcoin's violent rise breaking through 117,000 US dollars was by no means accidental, but a liquidity barrier bought by institutions with 1.5 billion US dollars!
III. Triple Nuclear-Level Benefits: How will the interest rate cut cycle rewrite the crypto landscape?
Goldman Sachs reports have already seen the opportunity: the combination of starting interest rate cuts in September + three consecutive interest rate cuts will detonate three major on-chain nuclear changes 1:
Liquidity flood collapses valuation cage
When the risk-free rate goes from5.5% high halved to 3%, the sleeping trillions of US dollars of insurance funds will frantically rush to BTC, ETH and other 'digital bonds'. Standard Chartered Bank predicts:Bitcoin may soar to 200,000 US dollars by the end of the year, first attacking the 135,000 level in the third quarter!Regulatory ice age welcomes policy thawing
Monetary easing is often accompanied by regulatory tolerance. The (Big and Beautiful Act) promoted by Trump has already torn open policy gaps for the crypto industry, and the landing of the (2025 US Stablecoin Act) in the third quarter will detonate a compliant capital tsunami 106!Debt crisis breeds demand for 'non-sovereign gold'
The US tariff war ignited a global inflation engine, and Trump's (Big and Beautiful Act) may brew3-5 trillion fiscal deficit- When the credit of fiat currency collapses, Bitcoin is becoming a new 'Debt Safe Haven'!
IV. Behind the bloody short squeeze: How did 54,000 shorts become interest rate cut sacrifices?
Interest rate cut expectations are never a mild benefit, but a trigger for the slaughter of high-leverage markets:
Last night's liquidation tragedy: 119,700 people globally liquidated 541 million US dollars, of which 89% were short corpses - the largest single liquidation reached 3.7 million US dollars of ETH shorts;
Liquidation heat map reveals: 107,350-109,800 US dollar range gathers 1 billion US dollar level short stop-loss orders, which were instantly penetrated last night and triggered chain liquidation;
Whale cost defense line: On-chain tracking shows that a mysterious whale established a ten-thousand-ton long position at 110,300 US dollars, which forms a death noose with the maximum pain point of 102,000 US dollars for Bitcoin options!
When retail investors are still arguing about 'whether the interest rate cut is a sell-the-news', Wall Street has already laid out a leverage slaughterhouse - history is constantly repeating itself: when the June unemployment benefits data was released, the whale used the panic plunge to harvest 34.98 million US dollars of ETH shorts!
V. Dangerous Game: Three Major Minefields May Detonate a Hundred Billion Level Callback
A deadly trap in the carnival has been quietly set:
CPI data nuclear bomb countdown: If the June CPI announced today exceeds expectations, the probability of a July rate cut will plummet from 24%, and the 110,000 US dollar support level may instantly become the Maginot Line 49;
Leverage Bubble Appears: Current spot/derivatives trading volume ratio is only 0.07, the market has become a 'dance floor on a powder keg;'
Tariff Inflation Tsunami: Trump's 'Reciprocal Tariff 2.0' implemented on August 1st, UBS warns it is equivalent to a 1.5% GDP tax shock, which may trigger a Fed policy reversal!
Bitunix analyst urgently warns: If Bitcoin loses the 110,000 psychological level, it may retreat to the 105,000–102,500 support range 5!
VI. Survivor's Guide: How to navigate the flood of interest rate cuts without being strangled?
Law: Keep an eye on the three lifelines
BTC: 110,500 → Breakout chasing target 112,350
ETH: 2750 → Charge call 28306
Law: Thoroughly understand the policy timetable
The July 3rd FOMC meeting is the first domino of interest rate cuts, and the September 17th meeting is the ignition point of the 150 basis point rate cut wave! Deploy options straddle strategy 24 hours in advance, and extract risk-free returns in violent fluctuations 24.
Law 3: Leverage is prohibited, spot is king
When open interest soars to 18.7 billion US dollars, any policy black swan will trigger a 10-second flash crash Use a spot position to cross the storm to have the last laugh!
The Fed's interest rate cuts are never a gentle benefit, but the top bait for institutions to hunt retail investors. This was the case in the 2019 rate cut cycle, during the 2023 banking crisis, and last night's bloody dawn once again verified that the crypto world only rewards hunters who understand the central bank's lip language, and never buries lone wolves who see through expectations.
Xinbi daily sharing, the team behind it only serves ambitious madmen, the 10x coin password in hand directly feeds you into your mouth
Intraday attention: HYPEP M ETH PUMP
