The three core indicators of the market are showing a subtle yet critical resonance!
The breakeven line for short-term holders is at 1.17. This number hangs over the market like the sword of Damocles; although it hasn’t touched the warning threshold of 1.18, the edge of the sword has already skimmed the tip of the hair.
This extreme proximity is akin to the calm sea before a storm, with undercurrents raging madly beneath the surface.
The extreme pricing deviation range completed a strategic leap during yesterday's intense market surge, with the current orange line elevated to around the psychological barrier of $118,000. This number is not just a simple price scale, but a quantitative projection of market sentiment. When the bullish firepower has yet to break through this defense line forged by historical data, all the upward movements seem more like a false slumber before dawn.
The value deviation of active investors is recorded at 1.60, and this value meeting with the one standard deviation blue line can be regarded as the peak showdown between value investors and trend traders. Historical experience tells us that when the indicator reaches this chasm, it could either birth a powerful main wave like that in March 2024 or replay the seven disheartening 'false alarms' of last November. At this moment, the market stands at the crossroads of heaven and hell.
In this special moment of intense competition between technical and emotional factors, we must see the dawn of a breakthrough approaching while also being wary of the trap of false breakthroughs. True trading wisdom lies in weaving all possibilities such as 'successful breakout', 'false alarm', and 'sinking ship' into the trading web. The market always repeats history, but will never simply duplicate the rationality of the moment; that is the moat for future profits.
Remember: when all indicators point in the same direction, it is precisely when we need to maintain the highest vigilance. Because true breakthroughs never send invitations in advance.
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