Tonight at 21:30, the central bank team led by Powell will hold a meeting, definitely the most significant event of the week! Old Zhao will give everyone a sneak peek, predicting how these big shots will hold water, and how crypto people should respond and even take advantage!
Old Powell is now harder than walking on a tightrope. On one side, Trump is holding a gun to his head shouting for interest rate cuts, and on the other side, his own colleagues are arguing fiercely. Let's see how he performs tonight! The 'king of understanding' curses every day, saying if there are no interest rate cuts, he will fire you! Open pressure is rarely seen in history! The pressure is immense! The Federal Reserve is also divided internally, with doves and hawks arguing like a vegetable market! Old Powell is the chairman and must be the master of water-holding to stabilize the situation.
The most likely scenario, the art of holding water is back in the game! Must say some broth talk, there is progress in easing inflation, but it's not enough. In short, interest rate cuts will come, but don’t rush! Before the July CPI comes out, I won't make a statement! Pay close attention to micro-expressions and tone during the live broadcast tonight. If the tone is relaxed and smiling, then the doves are in the lead, which is positive. If the expression is serious and repeatedly mentions inflation, then the hawks are fighting back, and the shorts will laugh last!
Practical strategy for crypto people: Don’t bet on direction, steal the chicken!
Dovish signal (expectations of easing)
Don't rush to ALL IN! First, use a 5% position to chase the rise. Ethereum is more sensitive to liquidity.
Wait for a pullback to replenish positions! Historical experience shows that after central banks give hints, there is often a buy-the-anticipation, sell-the-fact scenario!
Ambush altcoins like high volatility tools for following the trend.
Hawkish signal (suppressing interest rate cuts)
Gold pit aiming device: Buy the dip during a crash. Leading stablecoins like $MKR are the most resilient during the end of the interest rate hike!
Be cautious with short positions! Watch out for Powell suddenly changing his face to protect the market. Politicians' mouths are deceiving.
4. Dark horse warning: Be cautious of non-US central banks stealing the spotlight!
Bank of Japan: If Ueda hints at continued rate hikes → Yen skyrockets → bearish for Bitcoin, Yen arbitrage positions withdraw.
Bank of England: If Bailey turns hawkish → British Pound strengthens → may lead to a collapse of altcoins, with risk appetite declining.
No matter what Powell says, tonight BTC's volatility will definitely exceed 3%! Contract traders, get ready for take-profit and stop-loss! The buy-the-anticipation, sell-the-fact spell, rising before the meeting, and possibly crashing during the meeting! Don’t chase high prices! The real direction will be seen in the 24 hours after the meeting, watch for whale wallet movements and whether US stocks rise or fall, it's more reliable than listening to speeches! If you feel helpless or confused trading in the crypto space, I hope my sharing can give you some inspiration and help! Hit follow so you don't get lost, Old Zhao lets you get a step ahead and create an information gap with others!#美联储何时降息？
