6.30 Today's ETH Report: ETH Trend Change Countdown! BlackRock ETF Delayed Again + 80,000 ETH Whale Transfers to Binance, Retail Investors Beware! #ETH
1. Current Market Situation: Price is Stuck, Trend Change Imminent
Looking at the real Bollinger Bands, upper band 2488, lower band 2392, middle band 2440. ETH price is trapped in the range of 2488 - 2523, this hundred-dollar space is the lifeline, a breakout will trigger a massive shock. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to 96 dollars, at the critical point for a trend change, the market could explode at any moment. In the MACD, DIF is 15.49, DEA is 9.70, although the histogram has turned from negative to positive, it is weak, and the bulls lack confidence.
2. Trend Change Points: Bulls and Bears Accumulate Strength, Whoever Strikes First Gains an Advantage
Bulls Breaking the Deadlock
For the bulls to break the deadlock, they need to break through 2523 with a volume exceeding 500,000 ETH and also penetrate the sell wall on the right side. Even if they break through, the real K-line must close steadily above 2440 to avoid repeating the false breakout on June 23.
Bearish Nuclear Button
For the bears, the key is to break below 2490 with significant volume. Pay attention to the buy wall; if it is broken and the volume exceeds 600,000 ETH, there will be no support below, and ETH will head straight for the 2450 institutional order zone.
3. Deadly Variables: Two Black Swans, Market Could Explode at Any Moment
SEC Document S7 - 24 - 025 shows that the BlackRock ETF approval has been delayed to July 17. Historical data indicates that after more than two delays, the approval rate drops below 30%, this is a ticking time bomb. Additionally, an address transferred 80,000 ETH to Binance, a typical sign of selling pressure, whale activity, retail investors be cautious.
4. Strategy: Act Decisively According to the Scenario
Break above 2523: If there is a genuine breakout, increase position up to 10% within the volume exceeding 500,000 ETH and stabilize above 2440, do not blindly chase highs.
Break below 2490: If it breaks down with volume, decisively open a short position, do not hesitate when the buy wall of 8600 ETH orders is broken.
Sideways: Engage in grid trading within the range of 2488 - 2523, profit from the volatility with a 0.5% price difference per grid, do not be greedy.
For specific buy/sell points and positions, follow the K-line Judge's homepage, in the introduction section