🔹 Crypto traders are growing cautious as the end of Donald Trump’s 90-day tariff suspension approaches. The critical date? July 9. At the same time, a massive $15 billion in Bitcoin options is set to expire this Friday, adding even more tension.
🔹 Bitcoin is holding steady at around $107,500, but altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin have slipped between 2% and 5%. The pressure is building, and investors sense the calm won’t last.
Trump’s Trade Policy Returns to the Spotlight
The three-month tariff pause announced by President Donald Trump is drawing to a close, and markets are bracing for the potential return of import duties, including:
🔹 Country-specific reciprocal tariffs
🔹 Tariffs up to 50% on European Union imports
🔹 A global baseline tariff rate of 10%
While geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel have eased, the crypto market has entered a phase of cautious waiting. Analyst Arthur Hayes highlighted macroeconomic factors such as the GENIUS Stablecoin Act and temporary SLR exemptions as crucial drivers for digital assets, predicting Bitcoin may soon reach a new all-time high.
Institutions Are Buying, Retail Traders Are Hesitant
According to Deribit data, 139,392 Bitcoin options worth nearly $15 billion are set to expire on Friday. A put/call ratio of 0.74 suggests that bulls still hold the advantage, though the maximum pain point stands at $102,000 — a level no investor wants to test.
Insights from Greek.Live show mixed market sentiment — despite price swings, traders are reporting stagnation and breakeven results. The $110,000 resistance level is seen as a tough barrier to break.
However, institutional demand for BTC remains strong. Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs exceeded $1.7 billion this week, led by BlackRock’s IBIT fund.
U.S. and China Sign Deal, India May Be Next
President Trump announced on Thursday that the U.S. and China have signed a new trade agreement, forming part of a larger strategy to open global markets. He stated:
“We’re opening India. We’re starting to open China. Things that never could really happen before. We just signed [a trade deal] with China. We won’t sign with everyone… But we’ve got some great deals. One’s coming, maybe with India — a very big one.”
Meanwhile, U.S. markets continue their upward momentum — the S&P 500 has surged over 1,200 points since the tariff pause began.
Conclusion: Crypto Market at a Crossroads
With the Trump tariff pause ending in just 13 days and billions in options set to expire, the crypto market is walking a tightrope. Investors are watching closely, awaiting the Fed's interest rate decision and hoping geopolitical tensions don’t flare up again.
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