$ADA

📅 1. Evolution last 5 days

• Current quote ≈ $0.5545, intraday low $0.5519 / high $0.5797

• Retracement of ~–6 % after rising to $0.59 seven days ago

• Formation of descending channel/triangle: highs and lows are lower and convergent

🛠️ 2. Technical analysis

• MAs: MA5 bullish, but MA20/50/100/200 on “sell” → higher trend still bearish .

• Oscillators: RSI ~39 (neutral-bearish), Stochastic ~19 (oversold), negative MACD → predominant selling pressure .

• Chart pattern: descending channel/triangle → possible decisive breakout soon.

🌍 3. Fundamental analysis

• Whales: sold ~230M ADA (June 20), then bought the bounce (June 25)   .

• Volume: weekly drop, although speculative interest arises at low levels .

• Ecosystem: updates like “Leios upgrade” on the way, Bitcoin adoption via Liqwid, good governance development .

🗞️ 4. Upcoming news

• Leios upgrade (next week): could bring positive volatility .

• Whale activity: key monitoring of what these big players do post-bounce.

• Macro & general crypto: BTC data and market climate will indirectly influence ADA.

🎯 5. Entry recommendations

Scenario Entry SL Target

A) Bullish breakout daily close >$0.56 (+volume) $0.545 $0.58 → $0.62

B) Breakdown daily close <$0.54 $0.555 $0.50 → $0.46

C) Internal range buy at $0.545–0.55, sell at $0.56–0.57 adjusted SL range current

• Management: ≤1 % of capital per trade, R:R ≥ 1:2.

🔮 6. Prediction

• Base: consolidation in triangle ($0.54–0.56) for 3–5 days.

• Bullish: breakout → rally to $0.58–0.62.

• Bearish: drop → test support at $0.50 and possible extension to $0.46.

#Cardano #ADAanalysis #CryptoTrading