BTC: As of June 26, 2025, the current price of BTC is $107,800; the closing pattern yesterday was a "small bullish candle", accompanied by increased volume, indicating that bulls have made some short-term efforts, but the strength is limited.

On-chain data shows that the net inflow of Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. yesterday was 5,165 BTC (approximately $548 million), indicating stable institutional confidence, but the increase in turnover reflects active short-term funds, with market leaders mainly consisting of short-term players, while long-term players tend to adopt a wait-and-see attitude at the current price level.

On the macro level, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend led to a withdrawal of Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, putting pressure on the price, while U.S. stocks were unaffected due to the weekend closure and continued to rise this week. If U.S. stocks remain stable, Bitcoin may challenge the $110,000 mark.

Overall, this round of Bitcoin's rise is more inclined towards technical correction rather than structural reversal. There is a lack of significant positive drivers in the short term, coupled with limited liquidity, and the market may fall at any time due to changes in sentiment. It is recommended to continue monitoring the strong support range below, between $93,000 and $98,000, while the support strength at $100,500 to $105,000 is relatively insufficient, posing a risk of further decline.

Long-term entry points: $88,800-$89,100 range; $82,500-$82,800 range;

Position allocation recommendation: Long-term BTC should account for 50% of the total position;

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