Talk about the current market outlook:

I believe Bitcoin is very likely to stay above 100,000, because if it really were to break down, it would have done so earlier. It wouldn't be the case that every time it approaches the 100,000 mark, it quickly rebounds. The conflict between Israel and Iran has come to a pause, but the crypto market has gradually diluted its negative impact. As long as there are no major negative developments ahead, the price is likely to fluctuate in the 100,000 - 110,000 range.

(If a major negative event occurs and it breaks below 100,000, there’s not much to be done)

Although Bitcoin has been above the 100,000 mark for over a month, it is very difficult to reach a new high recently because there are no actual positive factors to push the price to a new peak.

In terms of operations, I still recommend a few leading sectors: pepe, aave, sui, uni. Although the war factors have caused these leaders to drop significantly, they recover quite quickly. As long as BTC remains strong, they are worth watching, even though they are indeed not as stable as BTC and do not have institutional support. However, the facts also prove that they will not go to zero and will always rebound.

Regarding the significant market fluctuations, what everyone refers to as a bull market, I think there are signs of a local market rather than a full bloom. The earliest would be in September, because the market generally believes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. This means that the market is likely to start in late August, so the market's decline during this period is actually a setup in preparation for the interest rate cut in September.