The current situation is that Israel is 'armed' and preparing for battle, watching Iran closely. Although it is tiring, domestic conflicts have successfully shifted outward, and the Israeli domestic stock market has boosted economic confidence.
Iran holds two trump cards: 'attacking U.S. military bases' and 'blocking the Strait of Hormuz.' It is hesitant about whether to use them, especially the latter. If used poorly, it will be 'scorned by the masses'; if used well, it will annoy the U.S. and the global economy.
On the U.S. side, Trump is anxiously waiting for Iran's response. After finishing with the Secretary of State, he stated that he could negotiate with Iran, which is quite shameless, and he is betting that Iran will be hurt. However, the key point is that what Iran wants most is not 'substance' but 'face.' It is uncertain whether Trump realizes this issue.
Russia is taking the opportunity to 'kick them while they are down.' With one hand, they indicate that various countries are willing to provide Iran with nuclear weapons, clearly 'stabbing in the back,' treating Iran like a foolish little brother. With the other hand, they are likely increasing their attacks in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, stirring up Ukrainian faction allies.
Despite this, everyone seems to be convinced that the situation will not escalate further. Why? The reason is that they all believe Iran 'dare not fight.'
It is precisely because of this that Iran has been at a disadvantage for so many years. 🤏🏻
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