❗🇮🇷🇺🇸What will happen to the price of Oil and Bitcoin❗
☝️After yesterday's strikes by the USA on Iran's nuclear facilities and the parliament's approval for a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Brent rose to ~$78–80, while WTI rose to ~$75–77 per barrel.
⚡According to Reuters, analysts believe that with a real threat of closing the strait, Brent could rise to $100–120, possibly even up to $130 at most.
❗In the case of an actual closure — a sharp spike to $110–130 within a month, with a significant increase in risk premium and transportation costs, which could trigger a stagflation wave.
🤔If everything remains at the level of threats and NPP continues to operate, a moderate increase is possible — up to $85–90 for Brent.
🔥₿ Bitcoin Price Forecast
😄After the Iranian parliament's approval of the threat to close the strait, BTC fell from ≈$103,000 to $99,700, then dipped below $100,000.
😱Hundreds of millions in longs were liquidated — $600–950 million.
❗Short-term (over the next 1–2 weeks): a test of the support level at $95,000–98,000 is possible, especially if oil quickly jumps above $100 per barrel.
🔥Mid-term (1–2 months): if the escalation subsides, the Fed delays tightening, and oil stabilizes, BTC could recover to $105–110,000.
