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🎯 Key points from Arthur Hayes' presentation
"This is damn math" Compared the returns of bonds, gold, and Nasdaq with Bitcoin: BTC significantly outperforms traditional assets.
-The USA will create $9 trillion of new liquidity by 2028
-$3 trillion - loans through QE for the poor
-$900 billion - will compensate for the exit of foreign holders of Treasuries
-$5 trillion - elimination of restrictions on Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac bitget.com

⚡COVID Liquidity MATH
For $4 trillion of COVID liquidity, BTC grew ~10× (2020–21)
Double the liquidity = potential growth of 100×, from current ~$100k to $1 million.

❗Macro and geopolitics
-$2.5 trillion repo program (2022) - a precedent.
-The role of the Treasury exceeds the influence of the Fed.

🚀Conclusion: Arthur Hayes uses a clear mechanism: $9 trillion of printed money = 10× BTC. This forms a forecast of $1 million by 2028. His logic is based on historical correlations and reveals a strategy - "hold, accumulate, and be ready to endure volatility on the way to the target level" #BTC #ArturHayes

📊 Financial-Political Analysis: Iran – Israel and Possible Consequences🔥
1. Geopolitical Context⚡
The conflict between 🇮🇷Iran and 🇮🇱Israel is not just a local confrontation but a potential trigger for a broader regional and even global crisis. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz — a strategic point through which about 20% of the world's oil supplies pass. In the event of war escalation:
- Possible blockage of the strait.
- Likely destruction of oil infrastructure in the region.
- Sharp rise in oil prices (possible levels 😱$150–200 per barrel in the short term).
2. What to Prepare For❓
Potential global energy crisis.
- Rise in oil and commodity prices.
- Acceleration of inflation.
- Risk of financial crises in vulnerable countries.
- Strengthening the role of cryptocurrencies and gold as protective instruments.

3. Diversify Your Portfolio❗
BTC (30%), ETH (20%), gold (20%), cash or stablecoins (20%), commodity ETFs (oil/gas) — 10%.
❗Do not invest in illiquid crypto assets.
☝️Be ready to react quickly to news.#BTC #ETH #GOLD

Analysis of the current situation Ripple vs SEC

1. What happened?

Joint motion (June 12, 2025): Ripple and SEC request the court to approve that of the $125 million penalties, $50 million will go to SEC, the rest back to Ripple, and to dismiss jurisdiction over institutional sales of XRP barrons.com+14cointelegraph.com+14bravenewcoin.com+14.

Judge Torres' decision (September 2024): XRP is not a security on secondary markets, but institutional sales still fall under jurisdiction.

Chances of successful resolution: According to experts, the probability is about 70%, but the judge requires more convincing arguments.

2. Possible outcomes and impact on XRP

✅ Ideal outcome — agreement and removal of all restrictions:

Positive signal to the market: XRP will receive a definitive “quality mark” and clarity.

Only $50 million fine (instead of $125 million).

Institutional sales can resume without legal restrictions.

📉 Standard adverse outcome — court denial:

Agreement rejected (as it was in May for procedural reasons) ainvest.com+14ccn.com+14dlnews.com+14sec.gov+4time.com+4dlnews.com+4.

Return of uncertainty, possible delays in the case.

XRP is fixed in the range of $2.10–2.30 with a risk of pullback.

#xrp #SEC #tothemoon

❗Potential consequences of the war 🇮🇱🇮🇷 for the crypto market
1. Increased demand for "alternative assets" (including cryptocurrencies)
During periods of geopolitical instability, investors often seek "safe havens" such as gold, the Swiss franc, and in recent years — Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin and XRP may receive short-term support due to capital inflows, especially if traditional markets decline.
2. Increased volatility
Conflicts in the Middle East often lead to spikes in oil prices and turbulence in stock markets. This can enhance the volatility of cryptocurrencies, both positively and negatively. The risks of sharp corrections will increase, especially if the situation escalates.
3. Rising oil prices and impact on energy-intensive cryptocurrencies
If oil prices rise, it will increase the cost of mining Bitcoin and other Proof-of-Work currencies, which may affect profitability and even price expectations.
4. Acceleration towards decentralization
In the event of sanctions, blockades, or financial restrictions, countries and citizens affected by the restrictions may increasingly turn to cryptocurrencies.

🔥🚀Ready for the flight to the Moon? Those who haven't bought XRP over these long 5 years will soon regret it! And those who bought at the peaks and sold will regret it even more in these 5 years! The market capitalization has grown almost 5 times, and this gives hope that we will fly to the moon very soon! Share your thoughts!⤵️ Personally, I expect that we will reach a price of 5$ by the end of the year due to the final victory over the SEC, but there is a chance that they may try to contest the decision and prolong the process until autumn to buy everything from the retail investors!