#IranIsraelConflict

#Crisis

🔻 Short-Term Market Reaction

#BTC dipped from about $105K to briefly lower levels (~ $100–101K), with volatility surging as traders fled to safe-haven assets .

#ETH was hit harder, dropping 7–8%—trading around $2,200–2,300 after the strikes .

Total crypto market cap shrank by roughly $40–240 billion depending on the source .

⚖️ Resilience & Institutional Support

Despite volatility, Bitcoin held above the symbolic $100K mark, partly supported by US spot-BTC ETF inflows continuing a 9-day streak (~ $1B in net weekly inflows) .

Historically, geopolitical shocks tend to trigger sharp but brief declines, followed by rebounds—as seen in past conflicts like 2022’s Russia‑Ukraine and 2023’s Gaza war.

📈 Technical & On‑Chain Signals

On‑chain data shows institutional accumulation: inflows to major ETFs like BlackRock’s in June amounted to roughly $412 million .

Technical indicators suggest a potential contrarian opportunity: Bitcoin’s 20‑day moving average crossing above its 50‑day MA often signals a rebound.

🌍 Broader Market Implications

Geopolitical tension boosted oil prices (likely near or over $100/barrel if Iran retaliates), increasing risk aversion in global markets .

Investors have shifted toward USD, gold, and bonds, intensifying pressure on risk assets including cryptocurrencies .

🧭 What This Means for Crypto Investors

Volatility remains elevated as traders monitor:

Iran’s response, especially if it affects Strait of Hormuz.

Macro factors: Fed signals, oil prices, and safe-haven sentiment.

ETF flows—continued inflows could help stabilize prices, especially for BTC.