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๐๏ธ Date -June 21,2025
๐ Key Changes
๐ฅ Price crashed to $103,490.66 (-1.09%) โ broke below all key supports
โ ๏ธ New 24h Low: $102,345.00 โ market now acutely bearish
๐ EMA Breakdown:
EMA(7): $104,542.67 โฌ๏ธ
EMA(25): $105,212.58 โฌ๏ธ
EMA(99): $99,222.16 โฌ๏ธ (marginally)
๐ Oversold Levels:
RSI(6): 34.05 (lowest reading)
StochRSI: 1.78 / 9.84 ๐ฑ โ Potential strong reversal
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๐ Key Levels to Watch
๐งฑ Support
1. $102,345 โ Crucial 24h low (must hold)
2. $100,269 - $100,372 โ Strong macro support
3. $96,172 โ Extreme bearish target
๐งฑ Resistance
1. $104,366 โ Recent swing high
2. $104,542 โ EMA(7)
3. $105,212 โ EMA(25)
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๐ Price Predictions
โณ Short-Term (12-24h)
๐ป 80% Chance to test $102,345
Break below โ Dive toward $100,269
Bounce from low โ Relief rally to $104,366 (+8%)
โก StochRSI <2 = strongest reversal signal in months
๐ง Requires volume confirmation > 5k BTC
๐ Medium-Term (3โ7 Days)
๐ฉ Bullish Case (30%): Hold $100,269 โ range between $100Kโ$105K
๐ฅ Bearish Case (70%): Break below $100K โ move to $96,172
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๐ฏ TRADE PLAN
๐ด SHORT Setup (Bearish Momentum โ 60% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$103,400 (active zone)
$104,300 (dead cat bounce zone)
Targets:
$102,345 โ 50% TP
$100,269 โ Final TP
Stop Loss: ๐บ $104,600 (above EMA7)
RR: ๐งฎ 1:12
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๐ข LONG Setup (Oversold Reversal โ 40% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$102,350 (bounce at 24h low)
$100,300 (macro support)
Targets:
$103,500 โ breakeven area
$104,366 โ partial TP
$105,212 โ full TP
Stop Loss: ๐ป $102,200
Confirmation Needed:
StochRSI > 10 + ๐ Volume > 3k BTC
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โ๏ธ Trade Triggers & Invalidation
๐ป SHORT
Trigger: Price < $103,500
Targets: $102,345 โ $100,269
Invalidation: 4h Close > $104,600
๐ผ LONG
Trigger: Bounce at $102,345 with volume surge
Targets: $104,366 โ $105,212
Invalidation: 4h Close < $102,200
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
1. ๐งฎ Max Capital Per Trade: 1% (extreme volatility)
2. ๐ Max Leverage: 3x only
3. ๐ Adjustments:
If < $102,200 โ cancel longs, short to $100,269
If > $104,600 โ cancel shorts, long to $106,000
4. ๐ Only act on 4h candle closes
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๐จ Final Warning
BTC is at a technical tipping point.
StochRSI at 1.78 = rare extreme โ expect explosive volatility ๐ฃ
Watch closely:
USDT Dominance
S&P500 / DXY Correlation
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Take Trade From here ๐ $BTC
๐ Stay alert. Manage risk. Trade smart.
๐ Follow for real-time updates and key alerts