But Jerome Powell just gave us a hint.
Altcoins. Liquidity. Timing the high.
1/ The Federal Reserve just held interest rates at 4.25%–4.50%
This is the 4th consecutive pause, and it was expected.
Only 4 out of 19 Fed officials expect rate cuts in June 2025.
This is a message: No pivot yet.
2/ So, why haven't there been cuts yet?
Simple: Inflation is above the Fed's current target
- CPI: 2.4%
- Core CPI: 2.8%
- Fed target: 2.0%
They are not turning the money printer back on... yet.
Which means: Tight conditions will remain for longer.
3/ Yes, the economy is improving and jobs are stable, growth is not collapsing.
The Fed is still worried:
• Trump tariffs
• Global tensions
• Persistent service inflation
Rate cuts delayed for now. But they will surely come and will follow China and Europe
4/ So, what does this mean for crypto?
This means we are entering a prolonged accumulation phase.
It's not an explosive top.
It's not a drop.
Just a calm period where smart money accumulates while everyone else sleeps.
TOTAL 2 | ALTCOIN MARKET CAP 👇
5/ Risk assets like altcoins won’t go vertical without more liquidity.
And liquidity = cheap capital = rate cuts or QE.
Until then:
• Altcoins will move based on their fundamentals
• Institutional adoption of Bitcoin
• Bitcoin's dominance needs to fall for big moves.
6/ This also explains Bitcoin's resilience:
$BTC still above $100k
Dominance is rising
Healthy ETF flows
As altcoins remain suppressed unless we see some solid increases in narratives.
7/ So, when will the next real bull phase be?
It's not until the Fed changes direction.
No rate cuts = no liquidity rush = no parabolic altcoin season.
This is how this market works.
You need the money printer to go brrrrr
8/ But here’s the good news:
This is the best time to position yourself.
You don't make 10x during euphoria.
You do this during boredom, blood, and swings.
• Study the narratives
• Accumulate conviction plays
• Set goals
Interest rates will drop soon
9/ Zoom out:
The Fed is cautious, not pessimistic.
Crypto is strong, it's not over.
And the altcoin season? It's just delayed
Accumulation → Revaluation → Parabolic end in Q3 and Q4
If you understand how macro moves the markets, you stay 3 steps ahead.
This cycle is not over.
Loading.
Stack intelligently. Stay patient.
The real altcoin season comes when the Fed tightens the 'printing.'