๐๏ธ date 20 June ,2025
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๐ Key Changes from Last Analysis
๐ Price: $104,325.99 (-0.70%) โ Broke previous support
๐ EMAs:
EMA(7): $105,150.34 (โ)
EMA(25): $105,435.15 (โ)
EMA(99): $99,155.61 (โ)
๐ฅ Price < all EMAs โ Bearish structure strengthens
โ ๏ธ RSI(6): 37.63 โ Near oversold
โ ๏ธ New 24h Low: $103,929.27 โ Immediate breakdown zone
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๐ Key Technical Indicators
๐ฐ Price Range: $103,929.27 โ $105,073.53
๐ Volume:
Current: 1,425 BTC
MA(5): 11,172 BTC
MA(10): 12,890 BTC
๐ Volume remains 85% below average = weak conviction
๐ Momentum:
RSI(6): 37.63
StochRSI: 9.97 / 20.79 โ deeply oversold, potential reversal soon
๐งฑ Support Levels:
$103,929 โ $100,372 โ $100,134
๐ผ Resistance Levels:
$105,073 โ $105,150 (EMA7) โ $105,435 (EMA25)
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
๐ Short-Term (24h)
๐ Retest of $103,929 likely
โ ๏ธ Break below โ $100,372 โ $100,134
๐ Oversold RSI + StochRSI โ bounce potential from $103,900โ104,000
๐๏ธ Medium-Term (3โ7 Days)
โ Hold above $100,134 โ range-bound $100Kโ105.5K
โ Close below $100K โ drop toward $98,000โ96,000
๐ Reversal needs: StochRSI cross + Volume > 5K BTC
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๐ฏ Trade Plan
๐ Scenario 1: Short Setup (60% Probability)
Entry: $104,200โ$104,300
Targets:
TP1: $103,930
TP2: $100,372
Stop Loss: $105,100
Risk/Reward: 1:8+
๐ Scenario 2: Long Setup (40% Probability)
Entry: $103,900โ$104,000
Targets:
TP1: $104,800
TP2: $105,073
TP3: $105,435
Stop Loss: $103,800
Confirmation:
โ StochRSI cross > 20
โ RSI > 40
โ Volume > 3K BTC
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โ๏ธ Risk Management
โ ๏ธ Max Risk: โค1% per trade
๐ฅ Leverage: โค3x
๐ If breaks:
Below $103,800 โ Target $100,372
Above $105,100 โ Target $106,000โ$107,000
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๐งญ Critical Levels Summary
๐ Short Setup
โข Trigger: Breakdown below $104,200
โข Targets: $103,930 โ $100,372
โข Invalidation: If price closes above $105,100
๐ Long Setup
โข Trigger: Bounce from $103,900
โข Targets: $104,800 โ $105,435
โข Invalidation: If price closes below
$103,800
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> โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: Bitcoin is in a fragile phase. Monitor ETF flows, macro news (FOMC, CPI), and overall crypto sentiment. Prioritize strict SLs and confirm entries via 4h candles.
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Take Trade From here
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