Let's talk about the possible market scenario ahead:

July big drop - August bottoming - September market starts!

After yesterday's monetary policy meeting, my view has become more firm. I am bearish in July

(unless BTC breaks and stabilizes above 115000, but the probability is very low)

The probability of a rate cut on July 30 has decreased to 6%

In the next one and a half months, it is very likely to decline due to some negative news. After a sharp drop, there will be a consolidation in August. Don't expect a quick rebound; capital accumulation takes time and requires a certain period of consolidation.

Starting from mid-August, speculation about interest rate cuts will begin, and the entire market, including altcoins, will slowly raise the bottom. This will be the best time to enter the market for bottom fishing, with low-leverage long positions or spot purchases, rolling over positions into a bull market.

If this scenario plays out, then if there are extremely low points in July and August, you must unhesitatingly buy the dip at #鲍威尔发言 .