- Bad news:

The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate - this news will have a short-term impact, similar to the previous Russia-Ukrainian situation.

The FED continues to maintain interest rates (bad news, but it was anticipated). Chairman Jerome Powell's tone remains unchanged - waiting for more data to better understand the impact of tariffs before making policy adjustments. Sticking to an independent stance, asserting that the FED works based on economic data, not political pressure, even though President Trump continuously pushes for rate cuts.

The inflation index for the next 1-2 months is very important; if it doesn't increase or decrease => the situation remains stable and tariffs do not significantly impact inflation, the FED may consider lowering interest rates in the coming months (the market is still expecting two cuts this year, the first in September). If inflation continues to rise => the risk of tariffs significantly affecting inflation may extend => the possibility of an early rate cut is simply no hope, at worst, we have to wait until May next year when Powell leaves the chairmanship of the FED.

- Good news:

The stablecoin bill was voted on by the Senate yesterday and is awaiting the House of Representatives before it goes to the president. Trump has also declared that he will definitely sign this bill; generally, we are just waiting for the House to finalize it.

A few days ago, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned that if the GENIUS Act is passed, stablecoins will become a market worth $3.7 trillion by 2030. Currently, the total amount of stablecoins in the market is only over $250 billion, a growth of more than 14 times in the next 5 years is extremely large. Even if only half or a third of the estimate is achieved, it would already be too much; if this bill is passed, it will be a long-term bullish signal for crypto and DeFi will likely be the first to benefit.

Many large organizations and banks are actively deploying and investing in asset tokenization (mostly within the system $ETH ). Benefits: faster transactions, lower costs, easy cross-border transactions, and transparency thanks to direct tracking on the blockchain. Simply put, traditional finance is increasingly rooting itself deeper into this market. Asset tokenization is a revolution that is underway and will shape the future of the finance industry.

Money flow into ETFs$BTC & $ETH is still positive despite falling prices; market sentiment is poor due to the economic and political situation being quite dire in recent days. Additionally, some altcoin ETFs are expected to be approved in July or August.

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