Iran has come to its senses, or at least is pretending.

Look at what situation is unfolding: yesterday, people gathered in the White House to discuss, 'What should we do with Iran?', based on the refusal to comment on the national security meeting, one can understand this thesis: 'Guys, it's like this: either you go for peace now, or you all blow up in your Tehran. We're ready to back Israel if needed, but we don't really want to.'

In turn, Iran's actions: they bombed with 30 rockets, and then fell silent, Israelis slept peacefully today.

This suggests a quiet capitulation, but we need to wait for some 'hints' from both sides.

Also, it needs to be understood that the USA is already involved, but for now, purely 'psychologically' (the redeployment of the AUG is direct proof of that).

Another point that will determine the outcome:

The USA (already officially) gave 24 hours to cease missile attacks from Iran; therefore, if there are no attacks (and there probably won't be, Iranians are not foolish), it means peace, friendship, and chewing gum. But we must not forget about another point.

Many parties are involved in this conflict, and it won't be decided solely on the word of the USA; there may be a scenario where Trump has no choice for his TACO strategy and will have to enter the war. In this case, the quotes will hurt, but temporarily.

Also, another point: No one is touching oil.

This is a very good sign, because if they started to touch us, it would be very painful for all of us; I already described why in the previous article.

Overall, Iran has hours to make a decision; the next 24-48 hours will be crucial in this conflict, stay vigilant.

Regarding the market, my thoughts are this: for those who like to take risks, open a long position, because yesterday's decline was caught at the support zone. Because, in fact, nothing terrible was happening; the news background was just filled with statements from various people who have absolutely no information about the conflict, but at the same time, they are some kind of politicians, Merz conditionally.

Therefore, it's a long position, but if everything goes wrong, switch to short.