India and Pakistan. What should we be afraid of?
Recently, a conflict occurred between two countries, which, most unfortunately, are countries with nuclear weapons, capable of triggering a large-scale military conflict. It can impact both the global economy and financial markets. Let's figure out what to be prepared for if escalation occurs.
1. How will it affect the markets?
You can confidently expect a 6-7% drop in the S&P 500, and for BTC to enter the $80k range; you can already calculate your losses on long positions)
2. How will this affect the global economy?
India is one of the key hubs in global supply chains, and this will severely impact raw material markets and oil, which are already struggling due to Donald Trump's 'genius' tariff policy.
(By the way, the consequences of the news that the war will start in a couple of days can be seen on the BRENT chart 😂. Oh, and also on gold, which is moving upwards). We can also add the increase in the number of refugees from India and Pakistan, which will also burden neighboring countries.
We are closely monitoring the situation, and I also advise everyone to gradually cover large long positions (if any) 'just to be safe', but I wouldn't completely retreat.
