Here is a comprehensive analysis of Cardano (ADA) from both the fundamental (Fundamental Analysis) and technical (Technical Analysis) aspects, updated as of June 2025.
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🔍 Fundamental Analysis
✅ Project Overview:
• Cardano is a third-generation blockchain project founded by Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Ethereum).
• Depends on academic research and scientific review for each development stage.
• Uses a proof-of-stake algorithm (Proof of Stake) under the name Ouroboros, one of the first scientifically proven algorithms in terms of security.
🔧 Recent Developments (as of June 2025):
• Launch of the self-voting mechanism (Voltaire Governance), bringing Cardano closer to a fully decentralized blockchain system.
• Hydra update to enhance scalability and speed (Layer 2).
• Increase in the number of projects on the network (DEXs, NFTs, DeFi).
• Increasing adoption in government and educational projects, especially in Africa.
📉 Downsides and Challenges:
• Development is slow compared to other projects like Solana or Polygon.
• Weak incentives for developers compared to more active networks.
• The price has not reflected the level of development, which may raise concerns for short-term investors.
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📊 Technical Analysis (based on the overall trend, not investment advice)
✅ General Price Movement (on a weekly basis):
• Key resistance: $0.55 – $0.60.
• Strong support: $0.38 – $0.42.
• Long-term trend: Sideways to slowly upward, with attempts to break resistance since March 2025.
🔄 Moving Averages:
• The price is currently moving above the 50-day moving average, indicating positive momentum.
• The 200-day moving average is close to a positive crossover (Golden Cross), which may support future upward movement.
📈 Relative Strength Index RSI:
• Ranging between 50 – 60, indicating that the currency is neither in an overbought nor oversold region.
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🤔 Summary and Forecasts:
Side Evaluation
Technology and Infrastructure Excellent
Adoption and Partnerships Moderate
Price Performance Weak to Moderate
Community and Support Very Strong
Future Outlook. Positive, provided there is patience.
🔔 Prediction: If the development of the Voltaire network continues and Hydra succeeds, we may see a gradual rise of ADA towards $0.75 – $1.00 during 2025, especially if momentum returns to the cryptocurrency market.
