๐๏ธ Date: June 11, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $0.17382 (-7.81%)
---
๐ Key Changes vs Previous
๐ Fell from $0.18828 to $0.17382 โ ~10% drop
โ Crashed below key support at $0.18359
โ ๏ธ RSI at 29.70 = deeply oversold
๐ Volume at 968M โ 5-day avg (973M) โ confirmed capitulation
๐งจ MACD confirms bear acceleration (histogram -0.00172)
---
๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Bearish Signals
Price below EMA(7, 25, 99) โ full death cross
RSI 29.70 = lowest in recent history
Volume aligns with crash โ likely institutional dump
Structure: Parabolic breakdown, high volatility
---
๐งฑ Support & Resistance
Support Zones
$0.16987 (24h low)
$0.16341 (chart support)
$0.15948 (next floor)
Resistance Zones
$0.18359 (broken support)
$0.18513 (EMA 7)
$0.19575 (EMA 25)
๐ฏ Breakdown Target: $0.15948
---
๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Next 12โ24 Hours
๐ฅ Base Case (60%): Retest $0.16987 โ break toward $0.16341
๐ฉ Bounce Case (40%): Oversold bounce โ $0.17800 โ $0.18000
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Daily close < $0.16900 = target $0.15948
โ Reclaim $0.18359 = invalidates current bear momentum
---
๐ง Trade Plan
โก Immediate Action (Next 4h)
1. Aggressive Long (Bounce Setup)
Entry: $0.17200โ$0.17300
Target: $0.17600 โ $0.17800
Stop Loss: Below $0.17000
Trigger: 1h bullish candle + RSI >32
2. Short Scalp (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $0.17500
Target: $0.17300 โ $0.17100
Stop Loss: Above $0.17650
Confirm: 15m close < $0.17400
---
๐ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $0.16950
Target: $0.16341 โ $0.16000
Stop Loss: Above $0.17100
Confirm: 4h close < $0.16900
2. Relief Rally Short
Entry: $0.18000
Target: $0.17500 โ $0.17200
Stop Loss: Above $0.18200
Trigger: RSI <35 at resistance
---
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค1.5% of capital (meme coin volatility)
Take Profit:
Long: 100% at $0.17600
Short: 50% at $0.17000, 50% at $0.16500
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
---
โ๏ธ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h candle < $0.16987
! RSI sustains <28
! Volume spike >1.2B DOGE
! EMA spread widens (bear continuation)
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Bullish divergence (1h)
! RSI >40 + MACD crossover
! 4h close > $0.17800
! MACD histogram > -0.0010
---
โ Summary
DOGE/USDT is in capitulation mode with RSI at extreme oversold levels:
๐ Resistance: $0.18359 (must reclaim for trend shift)
โ ๏ธ Support: $0.16987 (critical breakdown zone)
๐ง Top Trade Ideas:
1. Oversold bounce at $0.17250 (stop $0.17000)
2. Breakdown short below $0.16950 (stop $0.17100)
3. Short rally near $0.18000 (stop $0.18200)
๐ซ Avoid heavy longs unless RSI >35 and trend structure improves
๐ฏ Exit bounce longs at $0.17600
โ ๏ธ Watch for stop hunts in $0.169โ$0.170 zone
> Note: RSI 29.70 is the most oversold in months. DOGE has a history of sharp 15โ20% rebounds post-capitulation. ๐ Confirmation is key.
Trade From here ๐ $DOGE
๐Follow for more updates
