๐๏ธ Date: June 13, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $143.98 (-10.10%)
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๐ Key Changes vs Previous
๐ Dropped over $15 from $159.50
โ Broke below EMA(99) and key support $148.29
๐ Volume collapsed: 590K < 2.57M avg โ capitulation
โ ๏ธ RSI at 29.95 โ deeply oversold
๐ฅ MACD histogram at -0.93 = sustained bearish pressure
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๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Bearish Developments
Lost all major EMAs (7, 25, 99)
Full death cross: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99)
RSI 29.95 = strong bounce probability
Breakdown on low volume โ exhaustion likely
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๐งฑ Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zones
$140.21 (24h low)
$137.83 (chart level)
$130.00 (psychological level)
Resistance Zones
$148.29 (previous support โ new resistance)
$153.52 (EMA 7)
$158.18 (EMA 25)
๐ฏ Breakdown Target: $130.00
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Next 12โ24 Hours
๐ฅ Base Case (60%): Break $140.21 โ move to $137.83
๐ฉ Bounce Case (40%): RSI-led recovery โ $148.29 โ $150.00
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Daily close <$137.83 = target $130
โ Reclaim $150.00 = short-term trend recovery
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๐ง Trade Plan
โก Immediate Trades (Next 4h)
1. Aggressive Long (Bounce Play)
Entry: $142.00โ$143.00
Target: $146.00 โ $148.00
Stop Loss: Below $140.00
Trigger: 1h bullish candle + RSI >32
2. Short Scalp (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $145.00
Target: $143.00 โ $141.00
Stop Loss: Above $146.50
Confirm: 15m close < $144.00
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๐ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $140.00
Target: $137.83 โ $135.00
Stop Loss: Above $141.50
Confirm: 4h close < $139.50
2. Relief Rally Short
Entry: $148.50
Target: $145.00 โ $142.00
Stop Loss: Above $150.00
Trigger: RSI <40 at resistance
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค2% capital
Take Profit:
Long: 100% at $146.00
Short: 50% at $142.00, 50% at $140.00
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
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โ๏ธ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h candle < $140.21
! RSI <30 continues
! Volume >3M SOL on breakdown
! EMAs diverge further
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Bullish divergence (1h)
! RSI >40 + upward MACD
! 4h candle close > $148.29
! MACD histogram > -0.50
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โ Summary
SOL/USDT is in capitulation mode with RSI at historic oversold levels:
๐ Key Resistance: $148.29 (must reclaim for relief)
โ ๏ธ Key Support: $140.21 (break = $137.83/$130 zone)
๐ง Top Trade Ideas:
1. Oversold long at $142.00 (stop $140.00)
2. Breakdown short below $140.00 (stop $141.50)
3. Short resistance near $148.50 (stop $150.00)
๐ซ Avoid heavy longs unless RSI >35 and bounce confirmed
๐ฏ Exit long at $146.00 if bounce trade triggers
> Note: RSI 29.95 is the most oversold in weeks โ bounce likely, but wait for confirmation.
Take Trade from here ๐ $SOL
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