After the halving in previous cycles, it takes about 235-240 days for altcoins to enter a season.

However, currently, this cycle has lasted 420 days and the alt season has not yet occurred.

This year shows a difference from previous cycles due to significant differentiation $BTC and other top coins like $ETH , $SOL , Link, Ada....

Capital is concentrating on BTC while the weakness of ETH is predominant as there are no significant improvements to attract capital flows into altcoins like in previous seasons.

420-235=185 days, thus it has been extended by 185 days, and it is possible that the 235-day cycle peaked on 12/8/2024 after the halving on 4/19/2024.

And if the 235 days repeat, we will be 50 days away from the peak, landing around 2/8.

The condition is for BTC to hold 105,900-106,100 for the next 2-3 weeks.

ETH continues to maintain 2,503.

Currently, it is close to the accumulation zone of top coins and even meme coins. I believe that even without an alt season, there will be some local mini altcoins. Therefore, whenever you see red, buy.

If more accumulation time is needed, it will fall between October and December this year.