๐๏ธ Date: June 12, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $3.2673 (-5.42%)
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๐ Key Changes vs Previous
โ Broke below EMA(7) and EMA(99)
๐ RSI dropped to 44.50 โ near oversold
๐ Volume collapsed to 14.7M vs 5-day avg 30.5M SUI
โ ๏ธ Bullish MACD histogram divergence at +0.0067
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๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Capitulation Breakdown
Price broke below EMA(7) and key $3.30 psychological level
RSI dropped sharply โ 44.50 (bearish, but not extreme)
MACD histogram turned positive โ early reversal hint
Low volume suggests fakeout risk, not full-blown breakdown
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๐งฑ Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Support:
$3.2649 (24h low)
$3.0936 (chart support)
Resistance:
$3.3266 (EMA 7)
$3.3930 (EMA 25)
$3.4131 (chart resistance)
Breakdown Target:
$2.8467 (next support floor)
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Next 12โ24 Hours
๐ฅ Base Case (60%): Retest $3.2649 โ break โ $3.0936
๐ฉ Bounce Case (40%): MACD divergence bounce โ $3.30 โ $3.3266
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Close <$3.2649 = risk of slide to $2.8467
โ Close >$3.3266 = momentum shift to upside
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๐ง Trade Plan
๐ป Short Scalp (Next 4h)
Entry: $3.2700โ$3.2800
Target: $3.2650 โ $3.2500
Stop: $3.2900
Confirm: 15m close < $3.2680
๐ Counter-Trend Long
Entry: $3.2650
Target: $3.3000 โ $3.3200
Stop: $3.2600
Trigger: Bullish hammer + MACD histogram expansion
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๐ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $3.2600
Target: $3.0936 โ $3.0000
Stop: $3.2700
Confirm: 4h close < $3.2600
2. Divergence Long
Entry: $3.0936
Target: $3.2673 โ $3.3266
Stop: $3.0800
Trigger: RSI <40 + Volume >25M
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค2% of account
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $3.2500, 50% at $3.2000
Long: 50% at $3.3000, 50% at $3.3200
Max Risk: 0.8% per trade
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โ๏ธ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h close below $3.2649
! RSI stays under 40
! EMA(7) stays below EMA(25)
! Breakdown volume >30M
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! MACD histogram > +0.01
! RSI crosses 50
! 4h close > $3.3000
! Volume spikes >25M SUI
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โ Summary
SUI/USDT is showing signs of bearish breakdown, but also MACD bullish divergence:
๐ Key Resistance: $3.3266 (must reclaim for reversal)
โ ๏ธ Key Support: $3.2649 (if broken = slide to $3.09)
๐ง Best Setups:
1. Short scalps at $3.2700 โ target $3.2500
2. Breakdown shorts below $3.2600 โ target $3.0936
3. Divergence longs at $3.2650 or $3.0936 w/ MACD & volume support
๐ซ Avoid longs above $3.2800 unless MACD confirms + RSI reversal
๐ฏ Exit 50% short at $3.2500, trail remainder
TAKE TRADE FROM HERE ๐ $SUI
๐ FOLLOW ME FOR MORE ANALYSIS
